index

Investment & Economics Wiki - Master Index

Last updated: 2026-07-30 | Maintainer: Emma (AI) Purpose: A cross-referenced knowledge base on investment and economics, drawing on PSE Archive and external sources.

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Concept Pages (52 total)

• Financial Conditions - cost and availability of credit; Fed posture, 2-yr Treasury vs fed funds, housing + crypto as liquidity tells
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio - curated investment portfolio based on Mex Pete Trading Style and PSE cycle analysis
• Watchlists - curated lists for trading opportunities; includes Mex Pete Model Portfolio and sectoral lists
• 18.6-Year Real Estate Cycle - PSE’s core 18.6-yr land cycle; 14-up-4-down structure
• 14-Up-4-Down - asymmetric cycle shape: long credit-fueled rise, rapid collapse
• Winner’s Curse Phase - final speculative phase; PSE Clock at 3pm (Mar 23, 2026)
• PSE Clock - circular 24-hr diagram mapping 18.6-yr cycle phases
• Financial Timetable - decade/20/60 yr Roadmap curves; 1966 vs 2006 scenarios for 2026
• Gann Time Counts - seasonal dates, monthly pressure days, degree counting
• Planetary Cycles - Gann/PSE timing via Saturn, Jupiter, Mars, Venus cycles
• McWhirter Cycles - lunar nodal cycle (18.6 yr) applied to US business activity
• Economic Rent - Georgist root-cause thesis; citizens’ dividend solution
• Land Value Theory & Citizens Dividend - Henry George framework; LVT policy thesis
• Credit Crisis - proximate trigger of the cycle downturn; land collateral → credit contraction cascade
• Private Credit - shadow banking systemic risk; collapse sequence Feb-Mar 2026
• Fiscal Dominance - central bank overridden by fiscal need; inflationary endgame
• Bitcoin Cycle - 4-yr halving cycle; liquidity proxy; peak Oct 2025 confirmed
• Liquidity Cycle - global credit/money supply flow as fuel for asset cycles
• Bond Yields - yield curve as cycle indicator; must be read within PSE framework
• BRICS - geopolitical bloc challenging petrodollar/USD reserve currency system; K-wave symptom
• Mex Pete Trading Style - rising wedge + descending triangle PSE patterns
• US Dollar Hegemony - petrodollar system; geopolitical rent capture
• Gold - late-cycle commodity rotation; $5600peak\to$4000 correction (2026)
• Sector Rotation - HALO stocks; US tech to industrial/resource/banking shift
• Commodity Supercycle - Kondratiev/Saturn long-wave 50-60 yr commodity movements
• Kondratieff Wave (K-Wave) - 50-60 yr long economic wave; Kondratiev seasons
• Geopolitical Cycle - conflict as predictable symptom of cycle, not cause
• Bubble Index & Rule of 20 - PSE proprietary valuation indicators tracked since 1999
• Geo-Austrian Synthesis - Foldvary’s combination of Georgist land theory + Austrian business cycle
• Great Maturity Wall - $350T corporate debt refinancing wall (2026-2030); ZIRP-era debt meeting higher rates
• Land-Credit Feedback Loop - Ryan-Collins’ bank credit ↔ land price mechanism
• Property Tax as Cycle Stabilizer - Gaffney’s LVT-breaks-cycle thesis (1911 case)
• Hoyt Chicago Land Cycle - Hoyt’s 1830-1933 Chicago land price documentation
• Ricardo’s Law of Rent - Ricardian gradient; wages set at the margin; surplus flows to landowners (Harrison)
• Market Breadth Divergence - narrow stock participation on index highs as cycle-peak warning signal
• Land Speculation - holding land off market for price appreciation; engine of the 18-year cycle
• Speculative Vacancy - deliberate withholding of land from productive use; Prosper Australia research
• Bubble Amplifiers - mortgage securitization and other structural amplifiers of the land cycle
• D Line - advance/decline breadth indicator; diverged before 2001 and 2008 peaks
• S&P 500 - US equity index; crossed 7,000 Apr 2026 with weak breadth
• Real Estate Cycle Peak - top of the 18.6-year land cycle; breadth divergence as leading indicator
• Mex Pete Gallery - visual chart-pattern reference for Mex Pete trading style
• K-Shaped Economy - late-cycle divergence between asset-owning top decile and the median consumer; explains the simultaneous record-high indices and record-low consumer sentiment of May 2026
• IPO Mania - late-cycle surge in record-breaking IPOs (SpaceX $2TJune2026+OpenAI/Anthropic$1T each = ~$4T wave) as a Winners Curse Phase confirmation signal
• AI Bubble Thesis - 2025–2026 AI rally as the cycle’s defining late-cycle bubble; Wilson’s Jenga-tower decomposition (models / infrastructure / rare earths / energy) + railway-mania historical analog
• Tallest Building Indicator - cycle peaks produce record-breaking construction projects; Jeddah Tower 2028 as the current-cycle signal (echoes Empire State 1929, Burj Khalifa 2004)
• NYSE Margin Debt - broker margin borrowings normalized to M2; at 2000/2008 levels in June 2026, confirming maximum speculative leverage
• Equity Issuance Cycle - net new equity supply (IPOs + secondaries − buybacks); JPMorgan projects $1.5T over 2 years, strongest since the late 1990s
• Trump Put - Republican party will not allow markets to collapse; Trump links performance to stock market and reverses policy to protect gains
• Project 2025 — Private Money Thesis - abolish Fed, make money private; echoes 1860-80s US private banking era; “biggest boom then biggest collapse”
• Intermarket Correlations - cross-asset price relationships (USD/commodities, BTC/software, S&P/oil, MAGS/RSP) as a diagnostic framework for liquidity and cycle positioning

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Entity Pages (12 total)

• Phil Anderson - founder PSE, 18.6-yr cycle, Gann class
• Akhil Patel - PSE analyst, Bitcoin/liquidity, Roadmap
• Cathy Stacey - BBI host, gold 7,200-day/64-week sideways thesis, Australia/US property data
• Fred Harrison - UK economist, land cycle, Power in the Land (1983)
• Fred Foldvary - Georgist economist, predicted 2008 crash in 1997
• Mason Gaffney - LVT scholar (UC Riverside), cycle theory
• Homer Hoyt - Chicago real estate economist, 1933 dissertation, 1947 retrospective
• W.D. Gann - early-20th-century cycle, time-count, and planetary-cycle method; foundation of PSE Gann analysis
• Josh Ryan-Collins - UCL economist, Rethinking Land and Housing; land-credit feedback mechanism
• Andrew Pancholi - cycles researcher, The Market Timing Report
• Karl Fitzgerald — Prosper Australia; speculative vacancy research
• Mike Bird — financial journalist (WSJ, The Economist); The Land Trap (2025); mainstream cross-check on land-cycle mechanism

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Synthesis Pages

• Gann Watchlist History - historical stock watchlists from WD Gann emails
• Prediction Tracker - PSE predictions with outcome tracking
• Contradictions Log - logged contradictions and tensions across sources
• Wiki Maintenance Guide - rules for keeping the wiki current

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Recent Sources Ingested (2026)

2026 Gann Emails (25 ingested)

• [[sources/2026-07-28-gann-24-commodities-breakout-gsg-dba-drs|Gann #24 — Jul 28 2026]] — Anderson on the commodity breakout: GSG broke out from a four-year Mexican Pete basing pattern; the S\u0026P GSCI / S\u0026P 500 ratio has not yet spiked (historical spikes in 1973, 1990, 2008 = all cycle peaks), suggesting more commodity upside ahead. Data centre construction as this cycle’s commodity driver vs. China’s construction boom in the 2000s. “We could still be in the early stages of a commodity boom.” 30-year Treasury yield attempting another breakout over 5%. Watchlist: XME removed, DBA re-added (buy >$28.50),DRSadded(defensecontractor,buy>$50).
• [[sources/2026-07-23-gann-23-cpi-integrity-second-half-construction-boom|Gann #23 — Jul 23 2026]] — Anderson on CPI integrity under Trump (“brazen corruption calls into question the integrity of economic data”), the 2-year Treasury rejecting the June CPI moderation narrative, and the second-half construction boom channelling through AI/data-centre infrastructure. Tim Cook: semiconductor increases “unlike anything he had seen in any area in over 40 years.” Musk: “the biggest price jump in anything I’ve ever seen.” Import prices ex-fuels at 4.2%, computer/electronic components +7.5%. Electronics-driven inflation as the new transmission channel from AI CapEx to CPI.
• [[sources/2026-07-17-gann-22-reminder-about-the-process|Gann #22 - Jul 17 2026]] — methodology reminder restating PSE trading foundations: Gann’s Truth of the Stock Tape page 67 (Mex Pete), the 52-week-highs scanning method, and the Bessembinder empirical foundation (4% of stocks produce most long-term gains; 46 firms = half of all market wealth in 100 years). Cites 18.6 Strategic Investment Portfolio (Oakleighfs, since 2021) as live proof. Flags Bloomberg July 10 article on young investors “betting it all” as “a common ‘Winner’s Curse’ response.”
• [[sources/2026-07-08-gann-21-seasonal-dates-dxy-xar-meta|Gann #21 - Jul 8 2026]] — seasonal dates and midpoints driving DXY reversal lower (benefiting IEFA as unhedged international equity Mexican Pete setup) and 30-year Treasury yield reversal higher (false breakout above 5% followed by seasonal-date turn; TBT re-watched for second attempt); XAR (Aerospace & Defense ETF) added to US Watchlist above $295—MexicanPetesetuptiedtowar-profiteeringthesisfrom\ast TheSecretLifeofRealEstateandBanking\ast p.329;METAaddedtoShortWatchlistbelow$540 — series of lower highs, peaked last summer, though lacking flat bottom of ideal short setup.
• [[sources/2026-06-30-gann-20-intermarket-breadth-cmg-stop|Gann #20 - Jun 30 2026]] — intermarket correlations systematised as named framework (USD/commodities, S&P/oil, BTC/software-IGV, MAGS/RSP); CMG stopped out leaving portfolio at zero active positions for the first time in documented history (5→3→1→0 over 21 days); breadth improvement reported (RSP new highs while Mag 7 pulls back) shifting Roadmap emphasis toward red line; MSFT $350 support as BTC-correlated watch; lack of short follow-through as market feedback.
• [[sources/2026-06-26-gann-19-ypf-tbt-stop-loss-update|Gann #19 - Jun 26 2026]] — YPF and TBT both stopped out; portfolio down to single CMG short position; PLTR confirmed as live inverse Mexican Pete short setup with $135 stop; first Short Watchlist execution of the late cycle.
• [[sources/2026-06-22-gann-18-portfolio-update|Gann #18 - Jun 22 2026]] — Warsh’s first Fed meeting hawkish surprise (9/18 FOMC see a hike, 2-year at 4.19% vs 3.75% funds); Bitcoin retracing higher from critical $60Ksupport(breakdown=liquiditywarning,COINwatch$145); DXY breaks above 100 (seasonal reversal would set up IEFA Mexican Pete); 2008 international/EM rotation parallel; watchlist cleanup (RKLB/URA/DBA removed, COPX/XME/CGS added as Mex Pete setups).
• [[sources/2026-06-16-gann-17-portfolio-update|Gann #17 - Jun 16 2026]] - Four speculative-excess indicators fire simultaneously (tallest building, SpaceX IPO records, margin debt/M2, equity issuance); “more mania to go” confirms peak not yet arrived; XOM/FUEL stopped out, YPF stop raised to $48, BMN/APP removed.
• [[sources/2026-06-09-gann-16-portfolio-update|Gann #16 - Jun 9 2026]] - FCX stopped out (false breakout); MSTR added to Short Watchlist; late-June solstice weakness window; breadth divergence continues; 8-name Short Watchlist + 4-name US Watchlist updated.
• [[sources/2026-06-05-gann-15-portfolio-update|Gann #15 - Jun 5 2026]] - FCX and CMG added to Mex Pete Portfolio; copper strength.

2026 BBB Postcards (5 ingested)

• [[sources/2026-07-29-bbb-postcard-40-trump-economic-hit-men|BBB Postcard #40 — Jul 29 2026]] — Phil Anderson: Trump has cut out the Economic Hit Man intermediary (John Perkins’ Confessions of an Economic Hit Man); directly abducts leaders, bombs countries, and has family involved in resource/military companies. Historical parallel between Nazi Germany’s enablers and the current US presidency (“comparing the system, not the people”). Promotes Jonathan Brown’s Shepheard-Walwyn podcast interview with Perkins on debt as political tool, GDP as misleading measure, four forces shaping politics (fear, debt, scarcity, division), and moving from a “Death Economy” to a “Life Economy.” Reaffirms Gann: history repeats in set time frames.
• [[sources/2026-07-15-bbb-postcard-39-mercury-retrograde-grain-markets|BBB Postcard #39 - Jul 15 2026]] — Darren Wilson: Mercury retrograde framing for unexpected reversals; grain futures (soybeans, wheat, corn) bottomed June 30 before IMF food security warning and Gulf conflict re-eruption (“charts don’t lie”); HUD deregulation to expand non-prime mortgage access as “textbook late-cycle” signal at year 14; Fed Governor Waller pushing for rate hikes because inflation started climbing December 2025 before Iran-US conflict; gold dropping while oil rises as potential AI/tech capital rotation signal; Lizzie Magie’s Prosperity game as Georgist education tool.
• [[sources/2026-06-22-bbb-postcard-38-end-of-everything-bubble|BBB Postcard #38 - Jun 22 2026]] - Darren Wilson: short-term rate trend now up across major economies; interest rates “ultimately break the back of this current real estate cycle”; US banks seeking further regulatory unwinds; “end of the everything bubble is now in sight.”
• [[sources/2026-06-10-bbb-postcard-37-spacex-ipo-distortion|BBB Postcard #37 - Jun 10 2026]] - Darren Wilson’s analysis of the SpaceX IPO as market manipulation with real estate cycle implications.
• [[sources/2026-06-05-bbb-postcard-36-ai-media|BBB Postcard #36 - Jun 5 2026]] - Darren Wilson’s four-layer Jenga-tower decomposition of the AI rally (models / infrastructure / rare earths / energy); railway-mania historical analog; US–China interdependence at the supply-chain level.

2026 Subscriber Notices (3 ingested)

• [[sources/2026-06-25-melbourne-qa-recordings-now-available|PSE Sub #27 — Melbourne Q&A Recordings Now Available]] — Phil Anderson - 2026-06-25 — recordings of Melbourne Q&A event released; session 1 on connecting past cycles to today’s markets (1920s–2008, housing affordability policy); session 2 Q&A on K-wave, SpaceX, rent, extended Roadmap; Bendigo intro session also recorded.
• LAST CHANCE TO BUY TICKETS: London Meet and Greet, 13 June - Akhil Patel - 2026-06-08
• [[sources/2026-06-03-pse-gann-14-market-update|Gann #14 - Jun 3 2026]] - Tightening financial conditions thesis; Fed tailwind → headwind; 2-yr Treasury crosses fed funds; ITB at $85+BTCbearflagnear$60K as liquidity tells; DBA stopped out (slight gain via pyramid), YPF added on Mex Pete breakout (stop $43)
• [[sources/2026-05-27-gann-13-market-update|Gann #13 - May 27 2026]] - K-shaped economy formalised; Michigan consumer sentiment 44.8 (all-time low); ~$4TIPOwave(SpaceX/OpenAI/Anthropic);NYSEA/Ddouble-top;JHXaddedtoShortWatchlist;XRT$80 break trigger
• [[sources/2026-05-19-gann-12-market-update-may-2026|Gann #12 - May 19 2026]] - historic breadth divergence (10% of S&P making 52-wk lows on record-high day), CPI +3.8%/PPI +6.0% breakout, 30yr Treasury yield breaks 5% from Mex Pete pattern, TBT added to portfolio
• [[sources/2026-05-18-pse-sub-email-gann-11-set-up-examples|Gann #11 - May 18 2026]] - LYC completed trade (+67%, 4 months), XOM +22.30% open, mining Gann date refinement (12th/28-29), Livermore exit discipline quote
• [[sources/2026-05-13-gann-sub-email-gann-10-for-2026-market-update-13-may|Gann #10 - May 13 2026]] - cyclical sector divergence, A/D breadth warning, DBA stop raised, COIN short added
• [[sources/2026-04-28-pse-market-update-gann-08|Gann #08 - Apr 28 2026]] - Dow 30 Bubble Index, May 4 Gann date, double-tops in cyclical sectors
• [[sources/2026-04-22-pse-market-update-gann-07|Gann #07 - Apr 22 2026]] - breadth divergence, S&P record highs with fewer stocks at 52-wk highs

2026 Subscriber / Other Emails (15 ingested)

• Data Centre Peak Signals, October 2027 Time Counts — Anderson/Patel/Stacey/Wilson: October 2027 time-count framework (April 2025 + 30 months); record short positions prevent market decline; data centres as real-estate story (land ~5% → significantly more of cost); semiconductor concentration exceeds dot-com peak (20% of S&P, 7 companies = 70% of profits); AI chip depreciation overstated (~7 years vs 6-month obsolescence); “free AI from China” as October 2027 shock scenario; Mexican Pete breakout entry rules and retest count guidance; Trump as “bookend to the American Republic.”
• BBI July 2026 Q&A — Email Notes: Data Centre Land Prices, 17-Year Top-to-Top Cycle Divergence — Stacey: data-centre land at 14.4× premium ($360Kvs$25K/acre); 17-year top-to-top cycle diverges this cycle (top-to-top = 2023, low-to-top = 2026); real house prices trending down since 2022/2023; October 2027 time-count convergence with metonic cycle (19) and 216 (“number for the world’s soul”).
• [[sources/2026-07-20-pse-sub-32-from-the-vault|PSE Sub #32: From the Vault]] — Phil Anderson - 2026-07-20 — resource recommendation directing subscribers to the February 2020 Forecast Class for Gann time cycles and North Node content. Surfaces Gann’s explicit forecast: “Another bad period for the United States will be 2026 to 2030.” Highlights convergence of lunar cycles, Uranus 84-year cycle (America’s 250th anniversary in 2026), and other Gann-identified time periods as “particularly significant” for the coming years.
• [[sources/2026-07-17-pse-sub-31-right-emotions-are-building|PSE Sub #31: The Right Emotions Are Building]] — Phil Anderson - 2026-07-17 — identifies fund manager sentiment as a late-cycle signal: BofA survey (via Bloomberg July 14) shows US fund managers increasingly bullish with cash levels falling below 4%. Anderson: “the right emotions are building” — fear disappearing, “all we can see is blue sky” — a necessary precondition for the final top. Practical heuristic: buy when cash levels are high (6%+), sell when they fall below 4% toward 3%.
• PSE Orlando Meet & Greet 2026 Recordings — Akhil Patel - 2026-07-07 — Orlando (May 31) session recordings released: 2026 Roadmap vs. actuals (Dow/Nasdaq), forecast curves to end of decade, commodities (gold/oil/dollar) with long/short framework. Patel explicitly declares “I am of the view that we are seeing the peak of the land cycle in the US” and elaborates on the variable lag between land-cycle peak and other market peaks as “a genuine variable within each cycle.” References his May 2020 “Welcome to the new Jazz Age” report and DJIA Pattern of the Decade report as companion materials.
• BBI Q&A June 2026 — USD Future, K Wave, GANN Dates, Midterm Market Analysis — Cathy Stacey - 2026-06-25 — October 26 convergence date (4 independent GANN counts); 420 days from April 7 2025 low = June 2026 top; midterm history back to 1986 (only 2018 had meaningful pre-election downtrend); July 7 Aphelion as 120 days back from midterms; AUD/USD WWII freezing precedent; Phil’s detailed K-wave plateau thesis (no rate-cut rescue this cycle); full dollar-hegemony sequence (Venezuela→Iran→Cuba→South America, rare earths as real target); Akhil: “US land cycle has peaked”; 1920s commercial RE parallel (AI data centers = Manhattan skyscrapers); Warsh Fed credibility surprise; war by 2028-2029 warning; Andy Burnham knows Fred Harrison.
• Phil Anderson: Citizens Dividend Launch — Jun 12 2026 — SpaceX framed as largest-ever land enclosure; citdiv.org launched as public Economic Rent education platform; SpaceX IPO cited as cycle-top indicator
• BBI Q&A May 27 2026 — Anderson/Patel/Stacey: Australia winners-curse mystery, Bitcoin 17-week bear flag (late-2026 low on track), commodity sequencing (house builders → copper → gold → silver → oil → market), JHX inverse Mexican Pete, treasuries (3–6mo OK, long-dated sovereign-risk), Canadian 2008 analogs, NASDAQ Q3 roadmap, August reversal seasonality
• Melbourne Subscriber Q&A (May 30 2026) — Phil Anderson in-person Q&A, Ross House Melbourne; recording planned; logistics only
• BBB Webinar Q&A (May 2026) — Akhil Patel on gold, commodities, recessions, real estate; video released (no transcription yet)
• PSE Meet & Greet 2026 — Orlando May 31 / London Jun 13; Akhil Patel hosting
• Book Launch: Fred Harrison’s ‘Cheating’ — Harrison 2028 five-crises forecast; Annual Ground Rents proposal
• [[sources/2026-07-01-pse-sub-28-roadmap-notes-into-july|PSE Sub #28: Roadmap Notes into July]] — Phil Anderson - 2026-07-01 — mid-year Roadmap assessment; red line confirmed as primary guide (“The 20/60 line has been fabulous… it’s the red line presently”); June sharp one-day reversals cited as bullish Gann signal (“Time turns the trend, not price”); “markets haven’t gone up enough yet to see a crash”; war profits and Trump family military business; Stonehenge AI reanalysis connecting 56 Aubrey Holes to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle (56 ≈ 3 × 18.6), reinforcing ancient empirical roots of PSE’s planetary timing methodology.
• [[sources/2026-07-02-pse-sub-29-july-commentary|PSE Sub #29: July Commentary — Market Excesses, Rising Government Debt, and the Coming Stock Market Crash]] — Phil Anderson - 2026-07-02 — macro-level Winner’s Curse assessment: speculative excess “underway in earnest” with Gen Z traders (Bloomberg Jun 17), Taiwan stock leverage surging, and South Korean margin debt at record levels (Reuters Jun 8); rising government borrowing costs globally and interest payments as % of GDP (Bloomberg May 22); “history shows all economic excesses are eventually ‘popped’ by rising interest rates”; Trump as “master in spending other people’s money” with military spending “part of the family business”; Roadmap out to 2031 previewed.
• Four Podcasts Worth Your Time — Phil Anderson - 2026-07-06 — curates four YouTube podcasts for PSE subscribers: Karim El-Ayoubi on Realonomics (Shepheard-Walwyn), Akhil Patel on cycles/markets, a 17th-anniversary retrospective on The Secret Life of Real Estate and Banking, and Fred Harrison’s biographical interview (“essential viewing”). Signals a forthcoming Shepheard-Walwyn podcast with an author Anderson has “long wanted to hear.”
• PSE London Meet & Greet 2026 Recordings — Phil Anderson - 2026-07-13 — London Meet & Greet (June 13) recordings released; three sessions: (1) current 2026 cycle position across property, stocks, inflation, rates; (2) Andrew Pancholi as special guest on cycle convergence — “major events happen when several cycles come together at the same time”; (3) Anderson on land/stock market/commodity cycle positions and scenarios for stock market peak alignment with land cycle peak.
• Common Wealth Film — Special Screenings Across Victoria, 14-18 July — Phil Anderson - 2026-07-03 — announces Victorian special panel screenings (14–18 July) of Common Wealth, the documentary he executive-produced by Kane Guglielmi; film explores economic/political systems and equity themes aligned with his Citizens’ Dividend project; prior screenings sold out; follow-up to the July 2025 trailer announcement.

2026 Watchlist Updates (continued)

• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (July 17, 2026) — July 17 PDF confirms zero active positions for the ninth consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6 → July 8 → July 9 → July 10 → July 13 → July 16 → July 17) — 17 days across nine PDFs, the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $134.44(entry$107.27, stop $135,shortinprofitby$2.83/unit). Only $0.56 of headroom before stop — tightest buffer since position initiation. No companion watchlist PDFs issued.
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (July 20, 2026) — July 20 PDF confirms zero active positions for the tenth consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6 → July 8 → July 9 → July 10 → July 13 → July 16 → July 17 → July 20) — 20 days across ten PDFs, the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $134.85(entry$107.27, stop $135,shortinprofitby$2.42/unit). Only $0.15 of headroom before stop — tightest buffer since position initiation. No companion watchlist PDFs issued.
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (July 22, 2026) — July 22 PDF confirms zero active positions for the eleventh consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6 → July 8 → July 9 → July 10 → July 13 → July 16 → July 17 → July 20 → July 22) — 22 days across eleven PDFs, the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR remains the sole live trade (entry $107.27,stop$135.00). No companion watchlist PDFs issued; watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed.
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (July 23, 2026) — July 23 PDF confirms zero active positions for the twelfth consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6 → July 8 → July 9 → July 10 → July 13 → July 16 → July 17 → July 20 → July 22 → July 23) — 23 days across twelve PDFs, the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR dropped sharply from $134.85(July22)to\ast \ast$123.37** — the most favorable print since position initiation on June 25, putting the short **$16.10/unitinprofit\ast \ast fromthe$107.27 entry. A dramatic reversal from the July 20 snapshot where only $0.15ofheadroomseparatedthepositionfromits$135.00 stop. No companion watchlist PDFs issued.
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (July 28, 2026) — July 28 PDF confirms zero active positions for the thirteenth consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 28) — 28 days across thirteen PDFs, the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $131.53(entry$107.27, stop $135.00—shortinprofitby$24.26/unit with $3.47ofheadroom).PartialretracementfromtheJuly23bestprintof$123.37 but remains well in profit territory. No companion watchlist PDFs issued alongside the portfolio PDF.
• US Watchlist Snapshot (July 28, 2026) — July 28 US Watchlist PDF confirms 6 entries: UDN (>$18.50),COPX(>$95), XAR (>$295),IEFA(>$99), DBA (>$28.50),DRS(>$50). DBA re-added (removed June 22, now reforming Mexican Pete), DRS newly added (defense contractor late-cycle play), XME removed (price action not constructive).
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (July 16, 2026) — July 16 PDF confirms zero active positions for the eighth consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6 → July 8 → July 9 → July 10 → July 13 → July 16) — 16 days across eight PDFs, the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $133.76(entry$107.27, stop $135,shortinprofitby$3.51/unit). No companion watchlist PDFs issued; watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed.
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (July 13, 2026) — July 13 PDF confirms zero active positions for the seventh consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6 → July 8 → July 9 → July 10 → July 13) — 13 days across seven PDFs, the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $130.04(entry$107.27, stop $135,shortinprofitby$3.77/unit). The companion July 13 US Watchlist PDF adds IEFA (iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF, buy >99) as a fifth entry — formalising the DXY-reversal international equity rotation thesis from Gann #21. US Watchlist now: UDN (>18.50), COPX (>$95),XME(>$135), XAR (>$295),IEFA(>$99).
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (July 10, 2026) — July 10 PDF confirms zero active positions for the sixth consecutive snapshot — 10 days across six PDFs. PLTR improved materially to $129.04,themostfavorableprintsincethepositionwasinitiatedonJune25(shortinprofitby$4.23/unit from entry).
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (July 9, 2026) — July 9 PDF confirms zero active positions for the fifth consecutive snapshot — 9 days across five PDFs. PLTR at $132.22,modestlyimprovedfromJuly{8}^{\prime }s$134.37.
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (July 8, 2026) — July 8 PDF confirms zero active positions for the fourth consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6 → July 8) — the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history, now spanning over a week. PLTR remains the sole live trade (entry $107.27,stop$135, current $134.37).ShortWatchlistexpandsfrom7to8entrieswithMETAadded(shortbelow$540). US Watchlist expands from 3 to 4 entries with XAR added (buy above $295).
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (July 6, 2026) — July 6 PDF confirms zero active positions for the third consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6) — the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR remains the sole live trade across the PSE watchlist system (entry $107.27,stop$135, current $132.54 — short in profit from entry). All 31 historical positions on the sheet show exit dates. Sustained cash posture confirms actionable setups remain thin as the cycle approaches its peak.
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (July 2, 2026) — July 2 PDF confirms zero active positions for the second consecutive snapshot — the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR remains the sole live trade across the PSE watchlist system (Short Watchlist, entry $107.27,stop$135, current $125.73 — short in profit). Short Watchlist unchanged: RH, ITB, HD, COIN, JHX, MSTR.

Books Synthesized

• The Land Trap — Mike Bird (2025) — mainstream corroboration of land-credit cycle; Japan Land Standard; 2008 mechanism; productivity crowding-out; China bubble; partial LVT endorsement

Phil’s Archives — Bulk Ingest (2026-05-26, pending synthesis)

• 25 external interviews/podcasts/webinars + 21 video transcripts copied to raw/Phils_Archives/ for analysis. Covers Phil Anderson appearances 2013–2023: Jason Pizzino series, Cycles TV with Akhil Patel, GOKO webinar, Shepheard-Walwyn podcast, Adam Gower interviews, Twitter Q&A 2022, plus older EIS-era gold/cycle pieces. See raw/Phils_Archives/INDEX.md.

2026 Watchlist Updates

• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (June 30, 2026) — June 30 PDF confirms zero active positions. CMG stopped out per Gann #20. Portfolio contraction complete: 5 (June 9) → 3 (June 16) → 1 (June 26) → 0 (June 30). Short/US/AUS watchlists unchanged from June 22–26 PDFs. PLTR remains the sole live trade across the PSE watchlist system (Short Watchlist execution, stop $135).
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (June 26, 2026) — June 26 PDF snapshot: single active position (CMG short). YPF and TBT both stopped out this week per Gann #19. Portfolio contraction: 5 (June 9) → 3 (June 16) → 1 (June 26). June 26 Short Watchlist PDF confirms 7-entry composition (RH/ITB/PLTR/HD/COIN/JHX/MSTR) with PLTR now a live trade.
• Mex Pete Model Portfolio Snapshot (June 24, 2026) — June 24 PDF snapshot: 3 active positions. YPF at $48.04(stop$48.00 — essentially stopped). TBT $35.14(stop$34). CMG short $30.95(entry$28.74, stop 33). Companion to Gann #18: June 22 Short Watchlist (7 names, COIN 145), US Watchlist (UDN >$18.50,COPX>$95, XME >$135),AUSWatchlist(VTM>$1.90, CGS >$2.95).
• Property Sharemarket Economics Watchlists (May 26 2026) - Index of current and historical PSE watchlists including Mex Pete Model Portfolio and Short Watchlist.

Phil Anderson — ‘Beginning of the End’ Call (2026-05-26)

• [[sources/2026-05-26-pse-sub-26-beginning-of-the-end|PSE Sub #26: The Beginning of the End]] — Anderson’s most direct cycle-end declaration; 14-year land price run confirmed; AI/data center debt mapped to 2006 land rush; 30-yr yield above 5%; “months, maybe even a year” to peak

Phil’s Archives — External Interviews Batch (2022–2023)

• Phil’s Archives: External Interviews 2013–2023 — 25 interviews/transcripts (Jason Pizzino x4, GOKO 2023, Andrew Pancholi Jan 2023, Martin North, Shepheard-Walwyn, Akhil Patel); track record confirmations (no 2022 recession ✅, SVB not systemic ✅, second half prodigious ✅)