Master log of key predictions and forecasts across PSE sources. Status: ✅ confirmed, ❌ busted, ⏳ pending, ⚠️ partially confirmed.
PSE’s forecasting tradition draws on multiple independent lineages: Homer Hoyt’s empirical Chicago data (1933), Fred Harrison’s 18-year cycle application (1983), Fred Foldvary’s formal prediction of the 2008 crash (1997), and Phil Anderson / Akhil Patel’s current-cycle analysis. Where relevant, each prediction is attributed to the analyst making it.
Real Estate / Land Cycle
Prediction
Source / Analyst
Date
Target
Status
Next major bust ~2008 (1990 + 18 years)
Foldvary, AJES 1997
1997
2008
✅ confirmed
UK property: regions outside London to catch up in second half of cycle
PSE 2020 emails
2020
2020-25
✅
US land prices peak mid-end 2026, completing 14-year ascent from 2012 lows
Multiple — Anderson, Patel, Harrison
2020-2026
2026
⏳
Land market-led boom ends 2026 with “even more painful bust” than prior cycles
Harrison, Boom Bust (2005/2026)
2005
2026
⏳
18-year cycle peak 2026 (“end of 14-year cycle within an 18-year business cycle”)
Harrison, MoneyWeek interview
2022
2026
⏳
Continued US property market rise through 2025 (14 unbroken years by 2026)
“Beginning of the End” — Anderson declares cycle-end underway: “I think this is the beginning of the end.” 14 years of rising US land prices confirmed. No specific date: “months, maybe even a year.”
Anderson, PSE Sub #26
2026-05-26
2026-2027
⏳
Housing stocks (ITB) extremely sensitive to liquidity outlook; potential break below $85 support would confirm tightening financial conditions / cycle-end signal
Anderson, PSE Gann #14
2026-06-03
Near-term
⏳
Another period of weakness in late June around the solstice date (Jun 22); forecast curves aligned with this window; focus shifting to short setups
Anderson, PSE Gann #16
2026-06-09
Late Jun 2026
⏳
Stock Market
Prediction
Source / Analyst
Date
Target
Status
Dow has one more large run higher before final top
PSE 2025 emails
2025
2025-26
⏳
S&P ~7,500 target
BBI May 2025
2025
2025-26
⏳
Dow ~40K average projection
Anderson, Feb 2020 Forecast Class
2020
2025-26
✅ (hit 2024)
Markets tracking 20/60 year Dow forecast curve as of March 2024
Anderson
Mar 2024
Ongoing
✅
Markets peaked on equinox (Mar 21, 2024) — 180 months from Mar 2009 low
Anderson
Mar 2024
Mar 2024
✅
Trump tariff pause → tax cuts → markets go “bananas”
BBI May 2025
2025
2025-26
⏳
Fed chair replaced, rates cut 2-3%, drives market to blow-off top (1928 repeat)
BBI May 2025
2025
2026-27
⏳
April low to be retested in June (higher low expected)
BBI May 2025
2025
Jun 2025
⏳
Chinese stock market opportunity anticipated as cycle approaches peak
PSE 2024 emails
2024
2025-26
⏳
Late April 2026 stock market peak → weakness and choppy Q2/Q3 → strong Q4 finish (“red line” scenario)
Anderson, Gann #07
2026-04-22
Apr–Dec 2026
⏳
May 4 2026 marks “a peak soon that could mark a top until a fourth quarter rally sets in”
Anderson, Gann #08
2026-04-28
May 4 2026
⏳
Fed rate hike (not cut) within six months; market-implied odds shifted after CPI/PPI data
Anderson, Gann #12
2026-05-19
Nov 2026
⏳
10% of S&P constituents making 52-wk lows on record-high day = late-1990s bubble parallel; similar deterioration ahead
Anderson, Gann #12
2026-05-19
2026
⏳
Fed outlook shifting from tailwind to headwind; markets pricing rate hikes early next year (2-year Treasury yield crossed above fed funds target)
Anderson, PSE Gann #14
2026-06-03
Early 2027
⏳
Bitcoin / Crypto
Prediction
Source / Analyst
Date
Target
Status
Bitcoin peak Oct 2025
Patel — multiple 2024-25
2023-24
Oct 2025
⚠️ (peaked ~$108K Nov 2025)
Bitcoin crash >50%
Patel
2023
2025-26
✅ (50% by Feb 2026)
Next Bitcoin low: ~October 2026
Patel, 2026 emails
2026
Oct 2026
⏳
Next Bitcoin peak: late 2029 (post-April 2028 halving)
Patel, 2026 emails
2026
2029
⏳
Bitcoin target ~$250,000 next cycle (if similar % gain repeats)
Patel
2026
2029
⏳
Bitcoin another leg down; buying opportunity; October 2026 low
Patel, BBI April 29 2026
2026-04-29
Oct 2026
⏳
Bitcoin -43% from peak forming bear flag; potential retest of $60,000 support; reinforces BTC as liquidity-sensitivity tell
Anderson, PSE Gann #14
2026-06-03
Near-term
⏳
Bitcoin back at 2024 election-era price levels; MSTR (Michael Saylor) and COIN both set up as short candidates (watch 100and140 respectively)
Anderson, PSE Gann #16
2026-06-09
Near-term
⏳
Gold / Commodities
Prediction
Source / Analyst
Date
Target
Status
Gold 5,600peak→4,000 correction (2026)
Anderson / Patel
2025-26
2026
⏳
Gold consolidate Mar 2020, support through Jun-Aug 2020
PSE Mar 2020
2020
Mid-2020
✅
Commodity forecast: peak Sep 2010, fall to mid-2016, sideways, gold rising late 2018
PSE 2020
2010
2010-2020
✅
Commodities peak after stocks in every cycle
Anderson, Feb 2020 Forecast Class
2020
Post-2026
⏳
Gold moves sideways 64 weeks from March 2026 low → June 2027 before final bull leg (7,200-day + 64-week analog from 2006)
PSE, BBI April 29 2026
2026-04-29
Jun 2027
⏳
January 2026 gold top = 7,200 days from May 2006 top; subsequent decline of 27% mirrors 2006 pattern
PSE, BBI April 29 2026
2026-04-29
2026
✅ (Jan 2026 top confirmed; 27% fall)
Copper done; FCX double-top; copper to fall
Patel, BBI April 29 2026
2026-04-29
2026-27
⏳
Natural gas in solid downtrend; possible seasonal turn but no conviction
Patel, BBI April 29 2026
2026-04-29
2026
⏳
Geopolitical
Prediction
Source / Analyst
Date
Target
Status
Iran targeted next after Venezuela
Anderson, Jan 12, 2026
2026-01-12
2026
✅ (war started Feb 28, 2026)
Tariff war leads to actual war
Anderson, 2026 emails
2026
2026
✅
Greenland absorbed by US, potentially splitting NATO