Investment & Economics Wiki

Watchlists

4 min read

Summary

Watchlists are curated lists of financial instruments (stocks, commodities, etc.) provided by Property Sharemarket Economics (PSE) to guide subscribers on potential trading opportunities. These lists often include specific recommendations, entry/exit points, and risk management parameters, reflecting PSE’s analysis of market cycles. They range from active trading portfolios (like the Mex Pete Model Portfolio) to broader sectoral or themed lists (e.g., Short Watchlist, REITs, AI, US Construction). As of late May 2026, PSE has explicitly extended the watchlist family with a Short Watchlist — a structural acknowledgement that the Real Estate Cycle Peak is close enough that bear-side setups now warrant their own curated tracking surface.

Core Claims

  • [[2026-06-05-gann-15-portfolio-update|Gann #15]] (2026-06-05): The Mex Pete Model Portfolio is updated with new positions (FCX and CMG), providing actionable trading signals and stop-loss levels. This reinforces the active management aspect of PSE’s watchlists. — confidence: high
  • 2026-05-26-pse-watchlists (2026-05-26): PSE Watchlists provide week-by-week additions, removals, and stop changes for subscribers to track and identify market opportunities. This information helps guide tactical trading decisions based on PSE’s cycle analysis. — confidence: high
  • 2026-05-27-gann-13-market-update (2026-05-27): James Hardie Industries (JHX) added to the Short Watchlist. JHX is a large global supplier of building materials whose stock peaked in 2024 and historically tops well in advance of broader cycle peaks. Watch for a break below the $17 level (support going back to 2022) as the actionable trigger. — Phil Anderson — confidence: high
  • 2026-05-27-gann-13-market-update (2026-05-27): XRT (State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF) flagged on the watch list as a consumer-sentiment confirmation trigger: a break below the $80 support area would confirm the record-low Michigan-sentiment print (44.8) is translating into actual consumer-spending weakness. — Phil Anderson — confidence: high
  • 2026-05-27-gann-13-market-update (2026-05-27): Phil reaffirms the Short Watchlist as a response to the K-shaped equity market — “there’s a K-shaped dynamic forming in the stock market. That’s why we thought it would be a good time to introduce a short watchlist and show you how to trade the downturn.” — confidence: high
  • [[sources/2026-06-09-gann-16-portfolio-update|Gann #16]] (2026-06-09): MSTR (Strategy Inc.) added to Short Watchlist below **100 level, then we’ll watch for a break below that support area.” Crypto-related stocks remain weak broadly with Bitcoin at 2024 election-period price levels. Anderson explicitly states: “now might be the time to pay closer attention to stocks trading in a weak position on our short watchlist.” [Source: 2026-06-09 Gann 16 Portfolio Update] — confidence: high

Mechanism / How It Works

PSE Watchlists are generated through the application of PSE’s core frameworks, such as the 18.6-year real estate cycle and the Mex Pete Trading Style, to identify assets that are either undervalued, overvalued, or poised for a significant move according to cycle projections. These lists are dynamic, with updates reflecting shifting market conditions, cycle phase changes, and specific technical analysis triggers.

Key Evidence

  • Watchlists typically contain specific assets with associated performance and changes, which serve as empirical evidence for the application and efficacy of PSE’s analytical frameworks.

Applications

Subscribers use watchlists to:

  • Inform their investment decisions.
  • Monitor specific sectors or themes aligned with PSE’s outlook.
  • Track the performance of PSE’s recommended strategies.
  • Understand real-time application of cycle analysis to market movements.

Evolution Over Time

The structure and content of watchlists have evolved to include specialized categories like AI Watchlists and US Construction Sector Watchlists, reflecting new market dynamics and subscriber interests.

June 9, 2026 Short Watchlist (8 entries): RH (below 85), APP (below 125), HD (below 140), JHX (below 100). Represents a full shift toward late-cycle bear setups: housing ETF, crypto exchange, Bitcoin treasury company, software/AI (APP, PLTR), home improvement retailers. [Source: Short-Watchlist-June-9-2026.pdf]

June 9, 2026 US Watchlist (4 entries with buy triggers): UDN >60 (uranium ETF), RKLB >29 (agriculture). Agriculture (DBA) was stopped out of the Mex Pete portfolio but kept on the US watchlist for re-entry. [Source: Current-US-watchlist-June-9-2026.pdf]

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