Watchlists

Summary

Watchlists are curated lists of financial instruments (stocks, commodities, etc.) provided by Property Sharemarket Economics (PSE) to guide subscribers on potential trading opportunities. These lists often include specific recommendations, entry/exit points, and risk management parameters, reflecting PSE’s analysis of market cycles. They range from active trading portfolios (like the Mex Pete Model Portfolio) to broader sectoral or themed lists (e.g., Short Watchlist, REITs, AI, US Construction). As of late May 2026, PSE has explicitly extended the watchlist family with a Short Watchlist — a structural acknowledgement that the Real Estate Cycle Peak is close enough that bear-side setups now warrant their own curated tracking surface.

Core Claims

[[2026-06-05-gann-15-portfolio-update|Gann #15]] (2026-06-05): The Mex Pete Model Portfolio is updated with new positions (FCX and CMG), providing actionable trading signals and stop-loss levels. This reinforces the active management aspect of PSE’s watchlists. — confidence: high
2026-05-26-pse-watchlists (2026-05-26): PSE Watchlists provide week-by-week additions, removals, and stop changes for subscribers to track and identify market opportunities. This information helps guide tactical trading decisions based on PSE’s cycle analysis. — confidence: high
2026-05-27-gann-13-market-update (2026-05-27): James Hardie Industries (JHX) added to the Short Watchlist. JHX is a large global supplier of building materials whose stock peaked in 2024 and historically tops well in advance of broader cycle peaks. Watch for a break below the $17 level (support going back to 2022) as the actionable trigger. — Phil Anderson — confidence: high
2026-05-27-gann-13-market-update (2026-05-27): XRT (State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF) flagged on the watch list as a consumer-sentiment confirmation trigger: a break below the $80 support area would confirm the record-low Michigan-sentiment print (44.8) is translating into actual consumer-spending weakness. — Phil Anderson — confidence: high
2026-05-27-gann-13-market-update (2026-05-27): Phil reaffirms the Short Watchlist as a response to the K-shaped equity market — “there’s a K-shaped dynamic forming in the stock market. That’s why we thought it would be a good time to introduce a short watchlist and show you how to trade the downturn.” — confidence: high
[[sources/2026-06-09-gann-16-portfolio-update|Gann #16]] (2026-06-09): MSTR (Strategy Inc.) added to Short Watchlist below ** $100 * * s u pp or t; A n d erso n : " L oo k f or t h es t oc k t o mak e a s ma ll er b o u n ce n e a r t h ero u n d$ 100 level, then we’ll watch for a break below that support area.” Crypto-related stocks remain weak broadly with Bitcoin at 2024 election-period price levels. Anderson explicitly states: “now might be the time to pay closer attention to stocks trading in a weak position on our short watchlist.” [Source: 2026-06-09 Gann 16 Portfolio Update] — confidence: high
[[2026-06-16-gann-17-portfolio-update|Gann #17]] (2026-06-16): APP (AppLovin) removed from Short Watchlist — price action invalidates the setup. BMN (Bannerman Energy) removed from AUS Watchlist — price action invalidates setup. The Short Watchlist now holds 7 entries (down from 8): RH, ITB, PLTR, HD, COIN, JHX, MSTR. The AUS Watchlist narrows to 1 entry: VTM (Victory Metals, buy >$1.90). [Source: 2026-06-16-gann-17-portfolio-update, Short-Watchlist-June-16-2026.pdf, Current-AUS-watchlist-June-16-2026.pdf] — confidence: high
2026-06-24-mex-pete-portfolio-snapshot (2026-06-24): June 22 Short Watchlist confirmed: 7 entries (RH/ITB/PLTR/HD/COIN below $145/ J H X / MSTR) . N o t e : CO I Nt r i gg er i s * *$ 145**, not $140— i tw a s a d j u s t e d b e tw ee n M a y an dJ u n e a s B i t co i n^{'} s p r i ce a c t i o n e v o l v e d . J u n e 22 U S Wa t c h l i s t : U D N >$ 18.50, COPX > $95, XME >$ 135. June 22 AUS Watchlist: VTM > $1.90, CGS >$ 2.95. These PDF-confirmed triggers are authoritative snapshots from the downloadable watchlist files. — confidence: high
2026-06-22-gann-18-portfolio-update (2026-06-22): US Watchlist cleanup — RKLB (Rocket Lab), URA (Global X Uranium ETF), DBA (Invesco DB Agriculture Fund) removed: “Price weakness across all three is invalidating their chart setups which means we should focus our attention elsewhere.” DBA was previously stopped out of the Mex Pete portfolio (May 2026) but kept on the US watchlist for re-entry above $29; the removal here fully invalidates the setup. Added: COPX (Global X Copper Miners ETF), XME (State Street SPDR Metals & Mining ETF) to the US list, and CGS (Cogstate, ASX) to the AUS list — all three “trading near resistance inside a Mexican Pete-style setup.” [Source: PSE Gann #18, 2026-06-22] — confidence: high
2026-06-26-gann-19-ypf-tbt-stop-loss-update (2026-06-26): YPF and TBT both stopped out of the Mex Pete Model Portfolio this week. YPF stopped at $48 (r ai se df ro m$ 43 on June 16); TBT stopped at $34. P L TR co n f i r m e d a s a l i v es h or t se t u p — b ro k e b e l o w i t s in v erse M e x i c an P e t e p a tt er n w i t ha$ 135 stop. The portfolio now holds a single active position (CMG short). June 26 Short Watchlist PDF confirms the same 7-entry composition as June 22: RH, ITB, PLTR, HD, COIN, JHX, MSTR — with PLTR now an active trade rather than just a watchlist entry. [Source: PSE Gann #19, 2026-06-26; Short-Watchlist-June-26-2026.pdf] — confidence: high
2026-06-30-gann-20-intermarket-breadth-cmg-stop (2026-06-30): CMG short position stopped out — the Mex Pete Model Portfolio’s last active position is now closed. The portfolio holds zero active positions for the first time in its documented history. PLTR remains the sole active trade signal across the entire PSE watchlist system (Short Watchlist execution, stop $135). No changes to the Short Watchlist, US Watchlist, or AUS Watchlist from the June 22–26 PDFs. [Source: PSE Gann #20, 2026-06-30; Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-June-30-2026.pdf] — confidence: high
2026-07-02-mex-pete-portfolio-snapshot (2026-07-02): July 2 PDF confirms zero active positions for the second consecutive snapshot — the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history at that point. PLTR remains the sole live trade (Short Watchlist, entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135, current $125.73 — short in profit). Short Watchlist re-uploaded with unchanged 7-entry composition: RH, ITB, HD, COIN, JHX, MSTR. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-2-2026.pdf, Short-Watchlist-June-26-2026-1.pdf] — confidence: high
2026-07-06-mex-pete-portfolio-snapshot (2026-07-06): July 6 PDF confirms zero active positions for the third consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6). PLTR remains the sole live trade (entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135, current $132.54— s h or t in p ro f i t f ro m e n t ry b u t m o v in g m o d es tl y a g ain s tt h es h or t s in ce J u l y 2^{'} s$ 125.73 print). Short Watchlist composition unchanged. The sustained week-long cash posture across three snapshots confirms that actionable setups remain thin as the cycle approaches its peak. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-6-2026.pdf] — confidence: high
[[sources/2026-07-08-gann-21-seasonal-dates-dxy-xar-meta|Gann #21]] (2026-07-08): XAR (State Street SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF) added to the US Watchlist — Mexican Pete setup, watch breakout above $295 * * . T i e d t o t h e w a r - p ro f i t eer in g t h es i s f ro m * T h e S ecre t L i f eo f R e a lE s t a t e an d B ankin g * p .329 : " C o m p ani es in t h e b u s in esso f p ro f i t in g f ro m w a rs h o u l d b e d o in g w e ll a s w e a pp ro a c h t h e p e ak o f t h ere a l es t a t ecyc l e an d co m p e t i t i o n f orreso u rces b eco m es in t e n se ." * * MET A (M e t a Pl a t f or m s) * * a dd e d t o t h e S h or t Wa t c h l i s t — ser i eso f l o w er hi g h s, p e ak e d l a s t s u mm er, w a t c hb re akb e l o w * *$ 540. Anderson notes the pattern lacks the flat bottom of an ideal short setup but META is trading in a weak position. [Source: PSE Gann #21, 2026-07-08] — confidence: high
July 8 PDF snapshot (2026-07-08): Zero active positions confirmed for the fourth consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6 → July 8) — the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history, now spanning over a week. PLTR remains the sole live trade (entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135, current $134.37). Short Watchlist expands from 7 to 8 entries with META added. US Watchlist expands from 3 to 4 entries with XAR added. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-8-2026.pdf, Short-Watchlist-July-8-2026.pdf, Current-US-watchlist-July-8-2026.pdf] — confidence: high
July 9 PDF snapshot (2026-07-09): Zero active positions for the fifth consecutive snapshot — 9 days across five PDFs. PLTR at $132.22, m o d es tl y im p ro v e df ro m J u l y 8^{'} s$ 134.37. — confidence: high
July 10 PDF snapshot (2026-07-10): Zero active positions for the sixth consecutive snapshot — 10 days across six PDFs. PLTR improved materially to $129.04, t h e m os t f a v or ab l e p r in t s in ce t h e p os i t i o n w a s ini t ia t e d o n J u n e 25 (s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 4.23/unit from entry). — confidence: high
July 13 PDF snapshot (2026-07-13): Zero active positions for the seventh consecutive snapshot — 13 days across seven PDFs, the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $130.04, s t i llw e ll in p ro f i t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry. The July 13 US Watchlist PDF adds IEFA (iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF, buy > $99) as a fifth entry — formalising the DXY-reversal international equity rotation thesis from Gann #21. The US Watchlist now holds 5 entries: UDN (>$ 18.50), COPX (> $95), XME (>$ 135), XAR (> $295), I EF A (>$ 99). — confidence: high
July 16 PDF snapshot (2026-07-16): Zero active positions for the eighth consecutive snapshot — 16 days across eight PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $133.76, m o d es tl y ab o v e t h e J u l y 13 p r in t b u t s t i ll b e l o wt h e$ 135.00 stop with $1.24 o f h e a d roo m (s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 3.51/unit from entry). No companion watchlist PDFs issued — watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed. — confidence: high
July 17 PDF snapshot (2026-07-17): Zero active positions for the ninth consecutive snapshot — 17 days across nine PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $134.44, t i c kin gu p f ro m J u l y 16 w i t h o n l y$ 0.56 of headroom before the $135.00 s t o p — t h e t i g h t es t b u ff ers in ce t h e p os i t i o n w a s ini t ia t e d o n J u n e 25 (s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 2.83/unit from entry). No companion watchlist PDFs issued. — confidence: high
July 20 PDF snapshot (2026-07-20): Zero active positions for the tenth consecutive snapshot — 20 days across ten PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $134.85, t i c kin gu p f ro m J u l y 17 w i t h o n l y$ 0.15 of headroom before the $135.00 s t o p — t h e t i g h t es t b u ff ers in ce t h e p os i t i o n w a s ini t ia t e d o n J u n e 25 (s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 2.42/unit from entry). No companion watchlist PDFs issued. — confidence: high
July 22 PDF snapshot (2026-07-22): Zero active positions for the eleventh consecutive snapshot — 22 days across eleven PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR remains the sole live trade (entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135.00). No companion watchlist PDFs issued — watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed on July 13 (US) and July 8 (Short). — confidence: high
July 23 PDF snapshot (2026-07-23): Zero active positions for the twelfth consecutive snapshot — 23 days across twelve PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR dropped sharply from $134.85 (J u l y 22) t o * *$ 123.37** — the most favorable print since the position was initiated on June 25, putting the short ** $16.10/ u ni t in p ro f i t * * f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry with $11.63 o f h e a d roo mb e f ore t h e$ 135.00 stop. This $11.48 s in g l e - d a y d ro p re p rese n t s a d r ama t i cre v ers a l f ro m t h e J u l y 20 s na p s h o tw h ereo n l y$ 0.15 separated the position from its stop. No companion watchlist PDFs were issued. — confidence: high
[[sources/2026-07-28-gann-24-commodities-breakout-gsg-dba-drs|Gann #24]] (2026-07-28): US Watchlist updated — XME removed (price action not constructive, higher lows not forming in its base), DBA re-added (buy > $28.50; M e x i c an P e t ese tt in gu p a g aina f t erre m o v a l o n J u n e 22; i d e a ll yo n es ma ll er p u ll ba c k o ff$ 28.50 resistance before breakout), DRS added (Leonardo DRS Inc., buy > $50; d e f e n seco n t r a c t or, sec t or t ha t b e n e f i t s l a t e in t h ecyc l e f ro m reso u rceco m p e t i t i o n; hi g h er l o w ss in ceDece mb er w hi l e t es t in g$ 50 multiple times). The US Watchlist now holds 6 entries: UDN (> $18.50), COPX (>$ 95), XAR (> $295), I EF A (>$ 99), DBA (> $28.50), D RS (>$ 50). — confidence: high
July 28 US Watchlist PDF snapshot (2026-07-28): PDF confirms 6-entry US Watchlist: UDN (> $18.50), COPX (>$ 95), XAR (> $295), I EF A (>$ 99), DBA (> $28.50), D RS (>$ 50). — confidence: high
July 28 PDF snapshot (2026-07-28): Zero active positions for the thirteenth consecutive snapshot — 28 days across thirteen PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $131.53 (e n t ry$ 107.27, stop $135.00— s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 24.26/unit from entry with $3.47 o f h e a d roo mb e f ores t o p) . P a r t ia l re t r a ce m e n t f ro m t h e J u l y 23 b es tp r in t o f$ 123.37 but remains well in profit territory. — confidence: high
[[sources/2026-08-05-gann-26-market-update-august-4|Gann #26]] (2026-08-05): PLTR stopped out at $135 (p ro f i t ab l e,$ 27.73/unit from $107.27 entry). AME (Ametek) added to US Watchlist — Mexican Pete setup near all-time highs, breakout to new highs preferred. Also flags DXY double-top seasonal reversal, 30yr Treasury yields at highest since 2007, QQQ correction rally. — confidence: high
[[sources/2026-08-05-gann-26a-portfolio-alert-ame-iefa|Gann 26a]] (2026-08-05): AME and IEFA added to Mex Pete Model Portfolio from watchlist breakouts. AME at $254.05 (s t o p$ 233), IEFA at $99.88 (s t o p$ 97). First new entries in 34+ days. The US Watchlist now holds 6 entries (UDN, COPX, XAR, IEFA, DBA, DRS, AME — IEFA and AME transitioning from watchlist to active portfolio). — confidence: high
Sep 2 US Watchlist PDF (2026-09-02): US Watchlist down to 3 entries — thinnest in documented series. DBA removed (graduated to portfolio at $29.49, t r i gg ere d ab o v e$ 28.50 buy level). DRS removed without portfolio entry — setup likely failed or was pulled. Remaining: UDN (> $18.50), COPX (>$ 95), XAR (>$295). The pipeline is running thin as the cycle peak approaches — only 3 fresh setups remain. — confidence: high
Aug 26 AUS Watchlist PDF (2026-08-26): AUS Watchlist down to 1 entry (VTM, buy > $1.90) . * * CGS an d SFR re m o v e d * * — b o t h g r a d u a t e d t o M e x P e t e M o d e lP or t f o l i oo n A ug 26 (CGS a t$ 3.03 from > $2.95, SFR a t$ 24.88 from >$22). 2 of 3 AUS setups triggered in a single day — high hit rate validating the ASX resource thesis. The AUS pipeline is now effectively exhausted. — confidence: high

Mechanism / How It Works

PSE Watchlists are generated through the application of PSE’s core frameworks, such as the 18.6-year real estate cycle and the Mex Pete Trading Style, to identify assets that are either undervalued, overvalued, or poised for a significant move according to cycle projections. These lists are dynamic, with updates reflecting shifting market conditions, cycle phase changes, and specific technical analysis triggers.

Key Evidence

Watchlists typically contain specific assets with associated performance and changes, which serve as empirical evidence for the application and efficacy of PSE’s analytical frameworks.

Applications

Subscribers use watchlists to:

Inform their investment decisions.
Monitor specific sectors or themes aligned with PSE’s outlook.
Track the performance of PSE’s recommended strategies.
Understand real-time application of cycle analysis to market movements.

Evolution Over Time

The structure and content of watchlists have evolved to include specialized categories like AI Watchlists and US Construction Sector Watchlists, reflecting new market dynamics and subscriber interests.

June 9, 2026 Short Watchlist (8 entries): RH (below $125), I TB (b e l o w$ 85), APP (below $355), P L TR (b e l o w$ 125), HD (below $320), CO I N (b e l o w$ 140), JHX (below $17), MSTR (b e l o w$ 100). Represents a full shift toward late-cycle bear setups: housing ETF, crypto exchange, Bitcoin treasury company, software/AI (APP, PLTR), home improvement retailers. [Source: Short-Watchlist-June-9-2026.pdf]

June 16, 2026 Short Watchlist (7 entries — APP removed): RH (below $125), I TB (b e l o w$ 85), PLTR (below $125), HD (b e l o w$ 320), COIN (below $140), J H X (b e l o w$ 17), MSTR (below $100). AppLovin removed per Gann #17 — price action invalidated the setup. The remaining 7 reflect the same late-cycle housing/consumer/crypto/AI-software short thesis. [Source: Short-Watchlist-June-16-2026.pdf]

June 9, 2026 US Watchlist (4 entries with buy triggers): UDN > $18.50 (U S D b e a r i s h f u n d), U R A >$ 60 (uranium ETF), RKLB > $100 (R oc k e t L ab), D B A >$ 29 (agriculture). Agriculture (DBA) was stopped out of the Mex Pete portfolio but kept on the US watchlist for re-entry. [Source: Current-US-watchlist-June-9-2026.pdf]

June 16, 2026 AUS Watchlist (1 entry — BMN removed): VTM (Victory Metals, buy >$1.90). Bannerman Energy removed per Gann #17 — price action invalidated the setup. The AUS list has narrowed significantly from earlier in the year (which carried 4-5 names), reflecting the late-cycle reduction in actionable long setups. [Source: Current-AUS-watchlist-June-16-2026.pdf]

June 22, 2026 US Watchlist confirmed (3 entries — from PDF): UDN (Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund, buy > $18.50), COPX (Gl o ba lXC o pp er M in ers ETF, b u y >$ 95), XME (State Street SPDR Metals & Mining ETF, buy >$135). DBA, RKLB, and URA removed per Gann #18 — price weakness invalidated those setups. The list now focuses on dollar-reversal and metals/mining exposure, consistent with Anderson’s DXY-reversal-as-rotation-trigger thesis. [Source: Current-US-watchlist-June-22-2026.pdf, PSE Gann #18]

June 22, 2026 AUS Watchlist confirmed (2 entries — from PDF): VTM (Victory Metals, buy > $1.90), CGS (C o g s t a t e, b u y >$ 2.95). CGS (ASX-listed cognitive assessment tech) joins VTM — both near resistance inside Mexican Pete-style setups. [Source: Current-AUS-watchlist-June-22-2026.pdf, PSE Gann #18]

June 22, 2026 Short Watchlist confirmed (7 entries — from PDF): RH (below $125), I TB (b e l o w$ 85), PLTR (below $125), HD (b e l o w$ 320), COIN (below * $145 * * — * n o t e : t r i gg err ai se df ro m t h eor i g ina lM a y 13 w a t c h l e v e l o f$ 140), JHX (below $17), MSTR (b e l o w$ 100). APP was removed per Gann #17 (Jun 16). The July 22 composition confirms the late-cycle short thesis: housing ETF, consumer (RH/HD), crypto (COIN/MSTR), software/AI (PLTR). [Source: Short-Watchlist-June-22-2026.pdf, PSE Gann #18]

June 26, 2026 Short Watchlist confirmed (7 entries — from PDF): Same composition as June 22: RH (below $125), I TB (b e l o w$ 85), PLTR (below $125), HD (b e l o w$ 320), COIN (below $145), J H X (b e l o w$ 17), MSTR (below $100). No additions or removals. The key development is that PLTR has now transitioned from *watchlist setup* to *live trade* — Gann #19 confirms PLTR broke below its inverse Mexican Pete pattern and Anderson suggests entry with a$ 135 stop. This is the first Short Watchlist entry to trigger as an executable trade since MSTR was added to the watch in June 9. [Source: Short-Watchlist-June-26-2026.pdf, PSE Gann #19]

June 30, 2026 (Gann #20 + PDF snapshot): CMG stopped out — portfolio now at zero active positions. The Short Watchlist, US Watchlist, and AUS Watchlist are unchanged from the June 22–26 PDFs. PLTR remains the only live trade across the entire PSE watchlist system. The portfolio’s contraction from 5 → 3 → 1 → 0 over 21 days (June 9 to June 30) is complete. Anderson frames the CMG stop-out as market feedback (“a lack of good follow-through on short positions is another form of feedback from the market you shouldn’t ignore”) — suggesting that the market’s resilience to downside follow-through is itself a signal that the cycle peak has not yet arrived. [Source: PSE Gann #20, Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-June-30-2026.pdf]

July 6, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions confirmed for the third consecutive snapshot — the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history, now spanning a full week across three PDFs (June 30 → July 2 → July 6). PLTR remains the sole live trade across the entire PSE watchlist system (entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135.00, current $132.54). The Short Watchlist, US Watchlist, and AUS Watchlist remain unchanged from the June 22–26 PDFs. The sustained cash posture across three snapshots confirms that actionable setups remain thin as the cycle approaches its peak. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-6-2026.pdf]

July 8, 2026 (Gann #21 + PDF snapshots): Two new watchlist additions from Gann #21: XAR (Aerospace & Defense ETF, buy > $295) a dd e d t o t h e U S Wa t c h l i s t — a M e x i c an P e t ese t u pt i e d t o t h e w a r - p ro f i t eer in g t h es i s f ro m * T h e S ecre t L i f eo f R e a lE s t a t e an d B ankin g * p .329. * * MET A * * (M e t a Pl a t f or m s, s h or t <$ 540) added to the Short Watchlist — series of lower highs, peaked last summer, though lacking the flat bottom of an ideal short setup. The July 8 PDFs confirm the fourth consecutive zero-position snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6 → July 8) — now spanning over a week, the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR remains the sole live trade (entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135, current $134.37) . T h e U S Wa t c h l i s t n o w h o l d s 4 e n t r i es : U D N (>$ 18.50), COPX (> $95), XME (>$ 135), XAR (> $295) . T h e S h or t Wa t c h l i s t n o w h o l d s 8 e n t r i es : R H ($ 125), ITB ( $85), HD ($ 320), COIN ( $145), J H X ($ 17), MSTR ( $100), MET A ($ 540). [Source: PSE Gann #21, Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-8-2026.pdf, Short-Watchlist-July-8-2026.pdf, Current-US-watchlist-July-8-2026.pdf]

July 9–10, 2026 (PDF snapshots): Zero active positions for the fifth and sixth consecutive snapshots — 9 and 10 days across five and six PDFs respectively. PLTR improved from $132.22 (J u l y 9) t o$ 129.04 (July 10), the most favorable print since the position was initiated on June 25. The sustained cash posture across these mid-week snapshots with no watchlist changes confirms the portfolio is in a holding pattern as the cycle approaches its peak. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-9-2026.pdf, Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-10-2026.pdf]

July 13, 2026 (PDF snapshots): Zero active positions for the seventh consecutive snapshot — 13 days across seven PDFs, the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $130.04, s l i g h tl yo ff t h e J u l y 10 b es tp r in t o f$ 129.04 but still well in profit from the $107.27 e n t ry . T h e J u l y 13 U S Wa t c h l i s tP D F a dd s * * I EF A * * (i S ha res C ore MSC I E A FEETF, b u y >$ 99) as a fifth entry — formalising the international equity rotation thesis Anderson discussed in Gann #21 (DXY seasonal reversal → unhedged international equity Mexican Pete setup, echoing the 2008 international/EM rotation). The US Watchlist now holds 5 entries: UDN (> $18.50), COPX (>$ 95), XME (> $135), X A R (>$ 295), IEFA (>$99). The Short Watchlist composition remains unchanged at 8 entries. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-13-2026.pdf, Current-US-watchlist-July-13-2026.pdf]

July 16, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the eighth consecutive snapshot — 16 days across eight PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $133.76, m o d es tl y ab o v e t h e J u l y 13 p r in t o f$ 130.04 but still below the $135.00 s t o pw i t h$ 1.24 of headroom (short in profit by ~ $3.51/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry). No companion watchlist PDFs were issued alongside this snapshot — watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed on July 13 (US) and July 8 (Short). All 33 historical positions on the portfolio sheet show exit dates. The sustained 16-day cash posture across eight snapshots confirms that actionable setups remain thin as the cycle approaches its peak. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-16-2026.pdf]

July 17, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the ninth consecutive snapshot — 17 days across nine PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $134.44, t i c kin gu p f ro m t h e J u l y 16 p r in t o f$ 133.76 with only $0.56 o f h e a d roo mb e f ore t h e$ 135.00 stop — the tightest buffer since the position was initiated on June 25 (short in profit by ~ $2.83/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry). The narrowing headroom puts the PLTR short at its most vulnerable point since inception. No companion watchlist PDFs were issued. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-17-2026.pdf]

July 20, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the tenth consecutive snapshot — 20 days across ten PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $134.85, t i c kin gu p f ro m t h e J u l y 17 p r in t o f$ 134.44 with only ** $0.15 o f h e a d roo m * * b e f ore t h e$ 135.00 stop — the tightest buffer since the position was initiated on June 25 (short in profit by ~ $2.42/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry). The PLTR short is now within a single session’s range of triggering the stop; a stop trigger would still crystallise a profit of ~ $27.42/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry. No companion watchlist PDFs were issued — watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed on July 13 (US: UDN, COPX, XME, XAR, IEFA) and July 8 (Short: RH, ITB, PLTR, HD, COIN, JHX, MSTR, META). All 33 historical positions on the sheet show exit dates. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-20-2026.pdf]

July 22, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the eleventh consecutive snapshot — 22 days across eleven PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR remains the sole live trade across the PSE watchlist system (entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135.00). No companion watchlist PDFs were issued alongside this snapshot — watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed on July 13 (US: UDN, COPX, XME, XAR, IEFA) and July 8 (Short: RH, ITB, PLTR, HD, COIN, JHX, MSTR, META). The sustained 22-day cash posture across eleven snapshots confirms that actionable setups remain thin as the cycle approaches its peak. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-22-2026.pdf]

July 23, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the twelfth consecutive snapshot — 23 days across twelve PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR dropped sharply from $134.85 (J u l y 22) t o * *$ 123.37** — the most favorable print since the position was initiated on June 25, putting the short ** $16.10/ u ni t in p ro f i t * * f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry with $11.63 o f h e a d roo mb e f ore t h e$ 135.00 stop. This $11.48 s in g l e - d a y d ro p i s a d r ama t i cre v ers a l f ro m t h e J u l y 20 s na p s h o tw h ereo n l y$ 0.15 separated the position from its stop — the PLTR short went from its tightest buffer to its widest profit margin in a single session. No companion watchlist PDFs were issued — watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed on July 13 (US: UDN, COPX, XME, XAR, IEFA) and July 8 (Short: RH, ITB, PLTR, HD, COIN, JHX, MSTR, META). [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-23-2026.pdf]

July 28, 2026 (Gann #24 + PDF snapshots): US Watchlist updated per Gann #24: XME removed (price action not constructive), DBA re-added (buy > $28.50, M e x i c an P e t ere f or min g), D RS a dd e d (L eo na r d oD RS, b u y >$ 50, defense contractor late-cycle play). The US Watchlist now holds 6 entries: UDN (> $18.50), COPX (>$ 95), XAR (> $295), I EF A (>$ 99), DBA (> $28.50), D RS (>$ 50). The Short Watchlist composition remains unchanged at 8 entries (last confirmed July 8). The Mex Pete Model Portfolio PDF confirms zero active positions for the thirteenth consecutive snapshot — 28 days across thirteen PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $131.53 (e n t ry$ 107.27, stop $135.00— s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 24.26/unit with $3.47 o f h e a d roo m) . T h e J u l y 28 p r in t re p rese n t s a p a r t ia l re t r a ce m e n t f ro m t h e J u l y 23 b es tp r in t o f$ 123.37 but remains well in profit territory. Anderson: “While we’ve slowed our trading activity recently, it has been due to a lack of proper breakouts from Mexican Pete setups. I’m noticing more setups are developing, but the key is to remain patient and wait for the proper breakout.” [Source: PSE Gann #24, Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-28-2026.pdf, Current-US-watchlist-July-28-2026.pdf]

August 4, 2026 (PDF snapshot): US Watchlist down to 5 entries: UDN (> $18.50), COPX (>$ 95), XAR (> $295), D B A (>$ 28.50), DRS (> $50) . * * I EF A re m o v e d — i tt r i gg ere d * *, b re akin g i t s$ 99 buy level and entering the Mex Pete Model Portfolio at $99.88 (per Gann 26a), the first watchlist-to-portfolio graduation since the June entries. AME, added to the watchlist in Gann #26 the same day, triggered into the portfolio immediately and never appears on the sheet. The watchlist is now a pure pending-breakout pipeline of the late-cycle commodity/defense/dollar-bearish complex. [Source: Current-US-watchlist-August-04-2026.pdf, Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-August-04-2026.pdf]

August 26, 2026 (AUS Watchlist PDF): AUS Watchlist contracts to 1 entry: VTM (Victory Metals, buy > $1.90) . * * CGS * * (C o g s t a t e, b u y >$ 2.95) and SFR (Sandfire Resources, buy > $22) b o t h re m o v e d — g r a d u a t e d t o t h e M e x P e t e M o d e lP or t f o l i oo n A ugu s t 26 a t$ 3.03 and $24.88 respectively. The August 18 AUS Watchlist had 3 entries (VTM, CGS, SFR); 2 of 3 triggered in 8 days, a high hit rate. The AUS pipeline is now effectively exhausted with only VTM remaining. [Source: Current-AUS-watchlist-August-26-2026.pdf]

September 2, 2026 (US Watchlist PDF): US Watchlist contracts to 3 entries — the thinnest in the documented series: UDN (> $18.50), COPX (>$ 95), XAR (> $295) . * * D B A re m o v e d * * — g r a d u a t e d t o t h e M e x P e t e M o d e lP or t f o l i o a t$ 29.49 (triggered above the $28.50 b u y l e v e l, e n t ry 02.09.2026, s t o p$ 27.50). DRS removed without entering the portfolio — the Leonardo DRS defense setup (added Gann #24, July 28, buy >$50) was pulled, likely due to failure to break out or waning conviction. With both the US and AUS watchlists now at their thinnest, the PSE pipeline has 4 total pending setups (3 US + 1 AUS), the lowest in documented history. [Source: Current-US-watchlist-September-2-2026.pdf]

September 9, 2026 (US Watchlist PDF): US Watchlist contracts to 2 entries — the thinnest in the documented series: UDN (> $18.50), COPX (>$ 95). XAR removed (buy >$295) without a portfolio entry — the defense/aerospace leg retired, following DRS’s removal on September 2. Both XAR (Gann #21, July 8) and DRS (Gann #24, July 28) were US defense names; neither ever triggered. The US list now carries no equity-sector expression at all — only dollar-bearish (UDN) and copper (COPX). [Source: Current-US-watchlist-September-9-2026.pdf]

September 9, 2026 (AUS Watchlist PDF): AUS Watchlist expands from 1 to 2 entries: VTM (Victory Metals, buy > $1.90, u n c han g e d s in ce A ugu s t 18) pl u s an e w a dd i t i o n, * * W I RE (Gl o ba lXC o pp er M in ers A U D ETF, b u y >$ 28)**. WIRE’s appearance lands on the same date as COPX’s retention on the US list — the same copper-miner thesis expressed in both markets simultaneously, the clearest conviction signal in the week’s PDFs. WIRE is a re-entry: it was an ASX portfolio long in March–August 2024 (entry $12.57, e x i t e d 05.08.2024 a t$ 12.57 on an adjusted stop), so Anderson is returning to a name he has traded before at roughly 2.2× the prior entry. [Source: Current-AUS-watchlist-September-9-2026.pdf]

September 9, 2026 (pipeline state): Across both lists the entire pending-setup pipeline is 4 names — UDN, COPX (US) and VTM, WIRE (AUS) — of which COPX and WIRE are the same copper trade in two currencies, UDN is the dollar-bearish leg, and VTM is a lithium/metals developer. The whole pipeline now expresses a single macro bet: hard assets up, US dollar down, US equities absent from the long side. Nine weeks earlier (July 13) the two lists held 13 combined entries. [Source: Current-US-watchlist-September-9-2026.pdf, Current-AUS-watchlist-September-9-2026.pdf]

Mex Pete Model Portfolio
Short Watchlist
18.6-Year Real Estate Cycle
Mex Pete Trading Style
K-Shaped Economy — the long-watchlist + short-watchlist split is the operational expression of the K-shape
Real Estate Cycle Peak — the rationale for prioritising the Short Watchlist now

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Investment & Economics Wiki

Explorer

Watchlists

Summary

Core Claims

Mechanism / How It Works

Key Evidence

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Evolution Over Time

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Graph View

Table of Contents

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