Mex Pete Model Portfolio

Summary

The Mex Pete Model Portfolio is a curated selection of investment positions, primarily equities, managed according to the principles of the Mex Pete Trading Style and informed by the broader Property Sharemarket Economics (PSE) cycle analysis. It serves as a practical demonstration and recommendation for subscribers, showcasing how PSE’s theoretical frameworks translate into actionable market strategies.

Core Claims

2026-06-30-gann-20-intermarket-breadth-cmg-stop (2026-06-30): CMG (Chipotle Mexican Grill) short position stopped out. The portfolio’s last active position has been exited — the first time the Mex Pete Model Portfolio holds zero active positions in its documented history. Anderson frames the lack of follow-through on shorts as market feedback: “A lack of good follow-through on short positions is another form of feedback from the market you shouldn’t ignore.” The portfolio is now fully in cash, awaiting new setups. — confidence: high
2026-06-30-mex-pete-portfolio-snapshot (2026-06-30): June 30 PDF confirms zero active positions — the portfolio’s trajectory from 5 (June 9) → 3 (June 16) → 1 (June 26) → 0 (June 30) is complete. This is the most dramatic late-cycle contraction in the portfolio’s history and a live confirmation of PSE’s thesis that actionable setups (both long and short) thin out as the cycle peak approaches. — confidence: high
2026-07-06-mex-pete-portfolio-snapshot (2026-07-06): July 6 PDF confirms zero active positions for the third consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6) — the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR (Palantir) remains the sole live trade across the PSE watchlist system (entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135, current $132.54— s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 1.27/unit from entry). All 31 historical positions on the sheet show exit dates. The sustained week-long cash posture confirms that actionable setups remain thin as the cycle approaches its peak. — confidence: high
2026-07-08-mex-pete-portfolio-snapshot (2026-07-08): July 8 PDF confirms zero active positions for the fourth consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6 → July 8) — the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history, now spanning over a week across four PDFs. PLTR remains the sole live trade (entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135.00, current $134.37— s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 1.10/unit from entry, though the position has moved modestly against the short since the July 2 snapshot’s $125.73 print). All 31 historical positions show exit dates. — confidence: high
2026-07-02-mex-pete-portfolio-snapshot (2026-07-02): July 2 PDF confirms zero active positions for the second consecutive snapshot — the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history at that point. PLTR (Palantir) remains the sole live trade across the PSE watchlist system (Short Watchlist, entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135, current $125.73 — short in profit). The portfolio’s sustained cash posture confirms that actionable setups remain thin as the cycle approaches its peak. — confidence: high
2026-06-26-gann-19-ypf-tbt-stop-loss-update (2026-06-26): Both YPF and TBT triggered their stop losses this week. YPF was stopped at $48 (r ai se df ro m$ 43 on June 16) after oil prices pulled back and the retracement was “larger than ideal.” TBT was stopped at $34 a f t ere n t er in g o n t h e 30 - ye a r T re a s u ryy i e l d b re ak o u t ab o v e 5$ 28.74, stop $33) . A n d erso na l so f l a g s P L TR a s a l i v es h or t se t u pw i t hanin v erse M e x i c an P e t e b re ak d o w nan d a$ 135 stop. — confidence: high
2026-06-26-mex-pete-portfolio-snapshot (2026-06-26): June 26 PDF confirms the portfolio’s leanest posture on record — a single active position (CMG short) after YPF and TBT stop-outs. Portfolio active count: 5 (June 9) → 3 (June 16) → 1 (June 26). This is a live demonstration of PSE’s thesis that actionable long setups thin out as the cycle peak approaches. — confidence: high
2026-06-24-mex-pete-portfolio-snapshot (2026-06-24): As of June 24, the portfolio held three active positions. YPF was at $48.04— esse n t ia ll y a t i t s$ 48.00 stop level. TBT was at $35.14, ab o v e i t s$ 34.00 stop but below the $37.50 e n t ry (o p e n l oss$ 2.36/unit). CMG was a short running underwater at $30.95 v s$ 28.74 entry, with $2.05 o f h e a d roo mb e f ore t h e$ 33.00 stop triggers. — confidence: high
2026-05-26-pse-watchlists (2026-05-26): The Mex Pete Model Portfolio is a key component of the PSE Watchlists, offering specific, date-stamped recommendations for positions managed according to the Mex Pete Trading Style. It reflects current market conditions and cycle positioning. — confidence: high
July 9 PDF snapshot (2026-07-09): Zero active positions for the fifth consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6 → July 8 → July 9) — 9 days across five PDFs. PLTR at $132.22, m o d es tl y im p ro v e df ro m J u l y 8^{'} s$ 134.37. — confidence: high
July 10 PDF snapshot (2026-07-10): Zero active positions for the sixth consecutive snapshot — 10 days across six PDFs. PLTR improved materially to $129.04, t h e m os t f a v or ab l e p r in t s in ce t h e p os i t i o n w a s ini t ia t e d o n J u n e 25 (s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 4.23/unit from entry). — confidence: high
July 13 PDF snapshot (2026-07-13): Zero active positions for the seventh consecutive snapshot — 13 days across seven PDFs, the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $130.04, s l i g h tl yo ff t h e J u l y 10 b es tp r in t o f$ 129.04 but still well in profit (short in profit by ~ $3.77/ u ni t) . T h eco m p ani o n J u l y 13 U S Wa t c h l i s tP D F a dd s * * I EF A * * (i S ha res C ore MSC I E A FEETF, b u y >$ 99) as a fifth entry, formalising the international equity rotation thesis from Gann #21. — confidence: high
July 16 PDF snapshot (2026-07-16): Zero active positions for the eighth consecutive snapshot — 16 days across eight PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $133.76, m o d es tl y ab o v e t h e J u l y 13 p r in t o f$ 130.04 but still below the $135.00 s t o pw i t h$ 1.24 of headroom (short in profit by ~$3.51/unit from entry). No companion watchlist PDFs issued — watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed on July 13 (US) and July 8 (Short). — confidence: high
July 17 PDF snapshot (2026-07-17): Zero active positions for the ninth consecutive snapshot — 17 days across nine PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $134.44, t i c kin gu p f ro m t h e J u l y 16 p r in t o f$ 133.76 with only $0.56 o f h e a d roo mb e f ore t h e$ 135.00 stop — the tightest buffer since the position was initiated on June 25 (short in profit by ~ $2.83/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry). No companion watchlist PDFs issued. — confidence: high
July 20 PDF snapshot (2026-07-20): Zero active positions for the tenth consecutive snapshot — 20 days across ten PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $134.85, t i c kin gu p f ro m t h e J u l y 17 p r in t o f$ 134.44 with only $0.15 o f h e a d roo mb e f ore t h e$ 135.00 stop — the tightest buffer since the position was initiated on June 25 (short in profit by ~ $2.42/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry). A stop trigger would still crystallise a profit of ~$27.42/unit. No companion watchlist PDFs issued. — confidence: high
July 22 PDF snapshot (2026-07-22): Zero active positions for the eleventh consecutive snapshot — 22 days across eleven PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR remains the sole live trade (entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135.00). No companion watchlist PDFs issued — watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed on July 13 (US) and July 8 (Short). — confidence: high
July 23 PDF snapshot (2026-07-23): Zero active positions for the twelfth consecutive snapshot — 23 days across twelve PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR dropped sharply from $134.85 (J u l y 22) t o * *$ 123.37** — the most favorable print since the position was initiated on June 25, putting the short ** $16.10/ u ni t in p ro f i t * * f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry with $11.63 o f h e a d roo mb e f ore t h e$ 135.00 stop. This $11.48 s in g l e - d a y d ro p re p rese n t s a d r ama t i cre v ers a l f ro m t h e J u l y 20 s na p s h o tw h ereo n l y$ 0.15 separated the position from its stop. No companion watchlist PDFs were issued. — confidence: high
July 28 PDF snapshot (2026-07-28): Zero active positions for the thirteenth consecutive snapshot — 28 days across thirteen PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $131.53 (e n t ry$ 107.27, stop $135.00— s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 24.26/unit from entry with $3.47 o f h e a d roo mb e f ores t o p) . P a r t ia l re t r a ce m e n t f ro m t h e J u l y 23 b es tp r in t o f$ 123.37 but remains well in profit territory. — confidence: high
[[sources/2026-07-28-gann-24-commodities-breakout-gsg-dba-drs|Gann #24]] (2026-07-28): Anderson notes slowing trading activity due to lack of proper breakouts from Mexican Pete setups, but more setups are developing: “the key is to remain patient and wait for the proper breakout.” — confidence: high
[[sources/2026-08-05-gann-26-market-update-august-4|Gann #26]] (2026-08-05): PLTR short stopped out at $135 o n p os t - e a r nin g sr a ll y — t h e l a s t a c t i v e t r a d e a cross t h ee n t i re PSE sys t e mi s n o w c l ose d . Des p i t e t h es t o p, t h e t r a d e w a s p ro f i t ab l e ($ 27.73/unit from $107.27 entry). AME (Ametek) added to US Watchlist as a Mexican Pete setup near all-time highs. Anderson flags dollar seasonal reversal (DXY double-top from June solstice), 30-year Treasury yields at highest since 2007, and QQQ correction rally testing 50-day MA. — confidence: high
[[sources/2026-08-05-gann-26a-portfolio-alert-ame-iefa|Gann 26a]] (2026-08-05): First new portfolio entries in 34+ days — AME (Ametek) added at $254.05 w i t h$ 233 stop, IEFA (iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF) added at $99.88 w i t h$ 97 stop. Both triggered from watchlist breakouts. AME broke to all-time highs; IEFA broke to new highs (international equity rotation from DXY weakness). This ends the longest zero-position streak in the portfolio’s documented history (June 30 → August 5, 15 snapshots). — confidence: high
Sep 4 PDF snapshot (2026-09-04): Price-mark update, no actions — all 5 longs held (DBA, CGS, SFR, AME, IEFA); 0 adds/exits/stop changes. Headline: AME recovered above its stop ( $231.32 \to$ 234.20 vs $233.00 s t o p), d e f u s in g t h e immin e n t s t o p - o u t f l a gg e d o n S e p 2. I EF A ba c kin p ro f i t ($ 100.95), SFR loss trimmed to −10.2%, CGS +3.1%, DBA slipped to $29.09 (- 1.4$ 27.50 intact). Underwater count improves 3/5 → 2/5. Four consecutive snapshots at 5 positions (Aug 28 → Sep 4) — the longest sustained multi-position stance since June 9, confirming the commodity/resource rotation into the midterm window. — confidence: high
Sep 2 PDF snapshot (2026-09-02): 5 active long positions — the most diversified in documented history. Three new entries since Aug 4: DBA (agriculture, $29.49, s t o p$ 27.50), CGS (Cogstate, ASX, $3.03, s t o p$ 2.70), SFR (Sandfire Resources, ASX, $24.88, s t o p$ 20.00). Portfolio has pivoted from US equity breakouts to commodity/resource exposure (3 of 5 positions in agriculture/mining). 3 of 5 positions underwater: AME at $231.32 (o n l y$ 1.68 above $233 stop), SFR −10.6%, IEFA giving back gains. Risk of correlated commodity selloff triggering multiple stops. — confidence: high
Aug 26 AUS Watchlist PDF (2026-08-26): CGS and SFR both graduated from AUS Watchlist to portfolio on Aug 26 — 2 of 3 AUS setups triggered in a single day, a high hit rate validating Anderson’s ASX resource thesis. AUS Watchlist now down to 1 entry (VTM). — confidence: high

Mechanism / How It Works

Positions within the Mex Pete Model Portfolio are selected based on technical analysis patterns (rising wedges, descending triangles), economic cycle indicators (e.g., land cycle phase, credit conditions), and often align with broader themes identified by PSE (e.g., sector rotation, commodity supercycles). The portfolio is actively managed, with updates provided to subscribers regarding additions, removals, and stop-loss adjustments. Exit decisions are influenced by observations such as “news at the high” or the “squeezed out” phenomenon.

Key Evidence

Historical performance of the Mex Pete Model Portfolio, evidenced by periodic updates and analysis in PSE communications (e.g., Gann emails), showcases the application of the Mex Pete Trading Style and the 18.6-year real estate cycle principles to real-world trading. Specific trade examples with their entry, exit, and results are documented.

[[sources/2026-06-05-gann-15-portfolio-update|Gann #15]] (2026-06-05): Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) was added to the Mex Pete Portfolio with a stop loss of $65 f or ab u y in g o pp or t u ni t y ba se d o na M e x P e t ese t u p . C hi p o tl e (CMG) w a s a dd e d a s a s h or t - se ll in g o pp or t u ni t y w i t ha s t o pl osso f$ 33 as it broke down through $30 support. — confidence: high
[[sources/2026-06-09-gann-16-portfolio-update|Gann #16]] (2026-06-09): FCX stopped out at $63.91 (e n t ry$ 70.64) for a loss of $6.73/unit — deemed a false breakout. Anderson notes buying breakouts remains tough with sectors outside semiconductors struggling. Sectors shifting attention toward short-watchlist setups. Active positions: FUEL, XOM, TBT, YPF (longs) + CMG (short). [Source: 2026-06-09 Gann 16 Portfolio Update] — confidence: high
pse-watchlist-index (2026-05-26): This index confirms weekly changes to the Mex Pete Model Portfolio, including stock additions, removals, and stop adjustments as described in linked Gann emails. — confidence: high
[[2026-05-19-gann-12-market-update-may-2026|Gann #12]] (2026-05-19): TBT was added to the Mex Pete Model Portfolio with a stop at $34, following its removal from the US Watchlist. The 30yr Treasury yield breaking above 5% was a key trigger. — confidence: high
[[2026-05-13-gann-sub-email-gann-10-for-2026-market-update-13-may|Gann #10]] (2026-05-13): The stop for DBA (Invesco DB Agriculture Fund) was raised to $27.40. — confidence: high
[[2026-05-05-pse-market-update-gann-09|Gann #09]] (2026-05-05): DBA (Invesco DB Agriculture) position was pyramided up to ½ original size. — confidence: high
[[2026-04-28-pse-market-update-gann-08|Gann #08]] (2026-04-28): The stop for FUEL (BetaShares Global Energy) was raised to $8.35. — confidence: high
[[2026-04-22-pse-market-update-gann-07|Gann #07]] (2026-04-22): CNX (CNX Resources) was exited as its stop was hit. The stop for DBA was raised to $26.80. — confidence: high
[[2026-01-19-pse-sub-email-gann-33|Gann #33]] (2026-01-19): FUEL (BetaShares Global Energy) was added to the Mex Pete Portfolio (from the AUS Watchlist). — confidence: high
[[2026-06-16-gann-17-portfolio-update|Gann #17]] (2026-06-16): XOM and FUEL stopped out on oil-price pullback from Iran peace-deal news. XOM exited at $140.92 (e n t ry$ 129.13, + $11.79/ u ni t) . F U E L e x i t e d a t$ 8.33 (entry $6.97 A U D, +$ 1.36/unit). YPF stop raised from $43 t o$ 48 (slightly below breakout level). BMN removed from AUS Watchlist and APP removed from Short Watchlist (price action invalidates setups). Active positions post-Gann #17: TBT (long, stop $34), Y PF (l o n g, s t o p$ 48), CMG (short, stop $33). — confidence: high

Applications

Subscribers utilize the Mex Pete Model Portfolio as:

A guide for their own trading and investment decisions.
A case study to understand the practical application of PSE’s analytical methods.
A benchmark to compare against their own portfolio performance.

Evolution Over Time

The portfolio adapts to prevailing market conditions and cycle stages. For instance, in late-cycle phases, it may emphasize defensive positions or those benefiting from rising interest rates (e.g., TBT). The development of additional qualitative exit signals, such as “news at the high,” represents an evolution in its risk management strategy.

June 9, 2026: Portfolio now holding 5 positions: FUEL (+24.5%), XOM (+17.5%), TBT (slightly down), YPF (~flat), CMG (short, slightly profitable). FCX was stopped out as a false breakout (−$6.73/unit), reinforcing that copper breakouts remain difficult in the current breadth-challenged environment. Anderson signals that the balance of new opportunity is shifting toward the Short Watchlist rather than new long Mex Pete entries. [Source: 2026-06-09 Gann 16 Portfolio Update]

June 12, 2026 (confirmed portfolio snapshot from PDF): No changes from June 9. Confirmed open positions: FUEL (entry 6.97 AUD, stop 6.50, current ~8.60 = +23.4%), XOM (entry $129.13, s t o p$ 115), TBT (entry $37.50, s t o p$ 34.00), YPF (entry $54.74, s t o p$ 43.00), CMG short (entry Jun 5, stop $33). All stops unchanged. SpaceX IPO day — Anderson notes this listing as a cycle-top signal in the same-day subscriber email. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-June-12-2026.pdf]

June 16, 2026 (Gann #17): XOM and FUEL stopped out — both closed with solid gains. XOM: entry $129.13, e x i t e d$ 140.92, + $11.79/ u ni t (+ 9.1$ 6.97 AUD, exited $8.33, +$ 1.36/unit (+19.5%). YPF stop raised to $48. P or t f o l i o n o w h o l d s 3 a c t i v e p os i t i o n s : TBT (l o n g, e n t ry$ 37.50, stop $34, c u rre n t$ 34.81), YPF (long, entry $54.74, s t o p$ 48, current $50.45), CMG (s h or t, e n t ry$ 28.74, stop $33, c u rre n t$ 32.49 — short in profit). The portfolio has crystallised gains on two oil/energy positions (XOM +9.1%, FUEL +19.5%) triggered by the Iran peace-deal news. The remaining positions reflect the late-cycle thesis: TBT (short long-dated Treasuries), YPF (energy), CMG (consumer short). [Source: 2026-06-16-gann-17-portfolio-update, Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-June-19-2026.pdf]

June 19, 2026 (confirmed portfolio snapshot from PDF): No changes from June 16. Confirmed open positions: TBT (long, entry $37.50, s t o p$ 34.00, current $34.81), Y PF (l o n g, e n t ry$ 54.74, stop $48.00, c u rre n t$ 50.45), CMG (short, entry $28.74, s t o p$ 33.00, current $32.49). All stops unchanged. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-June-19-2026.pdf]

June 24, 2026 (confirmed portfolio snapshot from PDF): No position changes. YPF has drifted to $48.04— esse n t ia ll y a t i t s$ 48.00 stop level; any further downside triggers a stop-out that would crystallise a loss of ~ $6.70/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 54.74 entry (~12%). TBT ticked up marginally to $35.14 (s t o p$ 34.00, entry $37.50— s t i ll in o p e n l oss t err i t ory) . CMG s h or t a t$ 30.95 (entry $28.74, s t o p$ 33.00) remains underwater by $2.21 b u t s t i ll ha s$ 2.05 of buffer before the stop triggers. All three current positions are under moderate pressure. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-June-24-2026.pdf]

June 26, 2026 (Gann #19 + PDF snapshot): Both YPF and TBT stopped out this week. YPF exited at ~ $48.00 (e n t ry$ 54.74, ~− $6.74/ u ni t, - 12$ 43 to $48 o n J u n e 16 t o p ro t ec t c a p i t a l a f t er t h e I r an p e a ce - d e a l o i lp u ll ba c k . A n d erso n : " Whi l e i t^{'} sre a so nab l e t oe x p ec tp u ll ba c k s inan u pt re n d, t h ere t r a ce m e n t inY PF ha s b ee n l a r g er t hani d e a l so w e^{'} ll m o v eo n f ro m t ha tp os i t i o n ." TBT e x i t e d a t$ 34.00 (entry $37.50, -$ 3.50/unit, ~−9%) — the 30-year Treasury yield breakout trade that Anderson added on May 19 has now failed. The portfolio holds a single active position: CMG (short, entry $28.74, s t o p$ 33.00). Anderson also flags PLTR as a live short setup — the stock broke below its inverse Mexican Pete pattern with a stop at $135. [Source: [[sources/2026-06-26-gann-19-ypf-tbt-stop-loss-update|PSE Gann #19]], Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-June-26-2026.pdf]

June 30, 2026 (Gann #20 + PDF snapshot): CMG short position stopped out — “our short position in Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) hitting our stop, so be sure you have exited that position.” The portfolio now holds zero active positions for the first time in its documented history. The full contraction trajectory: 5 (June 9) → 3 (June 16) → 1 (June 26) → 0 (June 30). Anderson frames the CMG stop-out as market feedback rather than a pure trade loss: “A lack of good follow-through on short positions is another form of feedback from the market you shouldn’t ignore.” This is significant because it suggests the market’s resilience — shorts not following through is a form of breadth/evidence that the cycle peak has not yet arrived, consistent with Anderson’s concurrent breadth-improvement read. The portfolio is now fully in cash, awaiting new setups. PLTR remains the sole active trade signal from the Short Watchlist (stop $135), though it is technically a Short Watchlist execution rather than a Mex Pete Model Portfolio position. [Source: [[sources/2026-06-30-gann-20-intermarket-breadth-cmg-stop|PSE Gann #20]], Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-June-30-2026.pdf]

July 2, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions confirmed for the second consecutive snapshot. PLTR (Palantir) remains the sole live trade across the entire PSE watchlist system, listed on the Short Watchlist with a $135.00 s t o p an d c u rre n tp r i ce$ 125.73 (short in profit by ~ $1.54/ u ni t) . S h or t Wa t c h l i s t co m p os i t i o n u n c han g e d : R H ($ 125), ITB ( $85), HD ($ 320), COIN ( $145), J H X ($ 17), MSTR ($100). The sustained cash posture — now spanning a full week (June 30 → July 2) — confirms that actionable setups remain thin as the cycle approaches its peak, consistent with PSE’s thesis that both long and short setups thin out at the cycle top. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-2-2026.pdf]

July 6, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions confirmed for the third consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6) — the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history, now spanning a full week across three PDFs. PLTR (Palantir) remains the sole live trade across the entire PSE watchlist system, listed as position #1 on the portfolio sheet with entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135.00, current price $132.54 (s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 1.27/unit from entry, though the position has moved modestly against the short since the July 2 snapshot’s $125.73 print). All 31 historical positions on the sheet show exit dates with stop-triggered or pattern-based exits — no open longs or shorts remain in the portfolio itself. The sustained cash posture confirms that actionable setups remain thin as the cycle approaches its peak. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-6-2026.pdf]

July 8, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions confirmed for the fourth consecutive snapshot (June 30 → July 2 → July 6 → July 8) — spanning over a week across four PDFs. PLTR at $134.37 (e n t ry$ 107.27, stop $135.00). [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-8-2026.pdf]

July 9, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the fifth consecutive snapshot — 9 days across five PDFs. PLTR at $132.22, m o d es tl y im p ro v e df ro m J u l y 8^{'} s$ 134.37. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-9-2026.pdf]

July 10, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the sixth consecutive snapshot — 10 days across six PDFs. PLTR improved materially to $129.04, t h e m os t f a v or ab l e p r in t s in ce t h e p os i t i o n w a s ini t ia t e d o n J u n e 25 (s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 4.23/unit from entry). [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-10-2026.pdf]

July 13, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the seventh consecutive snapshot — 13 days across seven PDFs, the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $130.04, s l i g h tl yo ff t h e J u l y 10 b es tp r in t o f$ 129.04 but still well in profit from the $107.27 e n t ry (s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 3.77/unit). The companion July 13 US Watchlist adds IEFA (buy >$99) as a fifth entry, formalising the DXY-reversal international equity rotation thesis from Gann #21. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-13-2026.pdf]

July 16, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the eighth consecutive snapshot — 16 days across eight PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $133.76, m o d es tl y ab o v e t h e J u l y 13 p r in t o f$ 130.04 but still below the $135.00 s t o pw i t h$ 1.24 of headroom (short in profit by ~ $3.51/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry). No companion watchlist PDFs were issued alongside this snapshot — watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed on July 13 (US: UDN, COPX, XME, XAR, IEFA) and July 8 (Short: RH, ITB, PLTR, HD, COIN, JHX, MSTR, META). All 33 historical positions on the sheet show exit dates. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-16-2026.pdf]

July 17, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the ninth consecutive snapshot — 17 days across nine PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $134.44, t i c kin gu p f ro m t h e J u l y 16 p r in t o f$ 133.76 with only $0.56 o f h e a d roo mb e f ore t h e$ 135.00 stop — the tightest buffer since the position was initiated on June 25 (short in profit by ~ $2.83/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry). The narrowing headroom puts the PLTR short at its most vulnerable point since inception; a stop trigger would still crystallise a profit of ~ $27.17/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry. No companion watchlist PDFs were issued. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-17-2026.pdf]

July 20, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the tenth consecutive snapshot — 20 days across ten PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $134.85, t i c kin gu p f ro m t h e J u l y 17 p r in t o f$ 134.44 with only ** $0.15 o f h e a d roo m * * b e f ore t h e$ 135.00 stop — the tightest buffer since the position was initiated on June 25 (short in profit by ~ $2.42/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry). The PLTR short is now within a single session’s range of triggering the stop; a stop trigger would still crystallise a profit of ~ $27.42/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry. No companion watchlist PDFs were issued — watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed on July 13 (US: UDN, COPX, XME, XAR, IEFA) and July 8 (Short: RH, ITB, PLTR, HD, COIN, JHX, MSTR, META). All 33 historical positions on the sheet show exit dates. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-20-2026.pdf]

July 22, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the eleventh consecutive snapshot — 22 days across eleven PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR remains the sole live trade across the PSE watchlist system (entry $107.27, s t o p$ 135.00). The July 20 snapshot showed PLTR at $134.85 w i t h o n l y$ 0.15 of headroom — the tightest buffer since position initiation. No companion watchlist PDFs were issued alongside this snapshot — watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed on July 13 (US: UDN, COPX, XME, XAR, IEFA) and July 8 (Short: RH, ITB, PLTR, HD, COIN, JHX, MSTR, META). The sustained 22-day cash posture across eleven snapshots confirms that actionable setups remain thin as the cycle approaches its peak. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-22-2026.pdf]

July 23, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the twelfth consecutive snapshot — 23 days across twelve PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR dropped sharply from $134.85 (J u l y 22) t o * *$ 123.37** — the most favorable print since the position was initiated on June 25, putting the short ** $16.10/ u ni t in p ro f i t * * f ro m t h e$ 107.27 entry with $11.63 o f h e a d roo mb e f ore t h e$ 135.00 stop. This $11.48 s in g l e - d a y d ro p i s a d r ama t i cre v ers a l f ro m t h e J u l y 20 s na p s h o tw h ereo n l y$ 0.15 separated the position from its stop — the PLTR short went from its tightest buffer to its widest profit margin in a single session. No companion watchlist PDFs were issued — watchlist compositions remain as last confirmed on July 13 (US: UDN, COPX, XME, XAR, IEFA) and July 8 (Short: RH, ITB, PLTR, HD, COIN, JHX, MSTR, META). [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-23-2026.pdf]

July 28, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the thirteenth consecutive snapshot — 28 days across thirteen PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $131.53 (e n t ry$ 107.27, stop $135.00— s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 24.26/unit from entry with $3.47 o f h e a d roo mb e f ores t o p) . T h e J u l y 28 p r in t re p rese n t s a p a r t ia l re t r a ce m e n t f ro m t h e J u l y 23 b es tp r in t o f$ 123.37 but remains well in profit territory. Anderson notes (Gann #24): “While we’ve slowed our trading activity recently, it has been due to a lack of proper breakouts from Mexican Pete setups. I’m noticing more setups are developing, but the key is to remain patient and wait for the proper breakout.” [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-28-2026.pdf, [[sources/2026-07-28-gann-24-commodities-breakout-gsg-dba-drs|PSE Gann #24]]]

July 30, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero active positions for the fourteenth consecutive snapshot — 30 days across fourteen PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $123.00 (e n t ry$ 107.27, stop $135.00— s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 15.73/unit from entry with $12.00 o f h e a d roo mb e f ores t o p) . T h e J u l y 30 p r in t re p rese n t s a f a v or ab l ere t r a ce m e n t f ro m t h e J u l y 28 p r in t o f$ 131.53, approaching the July 23 best print of $123.37. T h e$ 12.00 headroom provides a comfortable buffer — the widest margin since the July 23 snapshot. The sustained 30-day cash posture across fourteen snapshots confirms that actionable setups remain thin as the cycle approaches its peak. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-July-30-2026.pdf]

August 3, 2026 (PDF snapshot): Zero new positions for the fifteenth consecutive snapshot — 34 days across fifteen PDFs, extending the longest zero-position period in the portfolio’s documented history. PLTR at $123.06 (e n t ry$ 107.27, stop $135.00— s h or t in p ro f i t b y$ 15.79/unit with ~ $11.94 o f h e a d roo mb e f ores t o p), esse n t ia ll y u n c han g e df ro m J u l y 3 0^{'} s$ 123.00. No new entries, exits, or stop adjustments. Snapshot landed the day before Gann #25 argued a tradable US market low is likely in place for the year — first new entries since June would be the confirming signal of that read. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-August-03-2026.pdf]

August 5, 2026 (Gann #26 + 26a — portfolio reactivation): The zero-position drought is over. PLTR short stopped out on a post-earnings rally (Gann #26) — a loss: the August 4 PDF records the actual exit at $162.66 (g a pt h ro ug h t h e$ 135 stop), − $55.39/ u ni t f ro m t h e$ 107.27 short entry. *(Correction 2026-08-08: this entry originally called the stop-out “profitable at ~ $27.73/ u ni t "— s i g n error; a s h or t e n t ere d a t$ 107.27 loses at any exit above $107.27.) * S im u lt an eo u s l y, * * tw o n e wl o n g p os i t i o n s t r i gg ere d * * : A ME (A m e t e k) a t$ 254.05 (stop $233) an d I EF A (i S ha res C ore MSC I E A FEETF) a t$ 99.88 (stop $97) (Gann 26a). Both broke out from Mexican Pete watchlist setups — AME to all-time highs, IEFA to new highs. This is the first portfolio activity since June 30 and the first new long entries since TBT was added on May 19. The 34-day zero-position streak (June 30 → August 5, 15 snapshots) is now the longest in documented history, and its end confirms Gann #25’s read that the July low is likely the low for the year. The IEFA entry crystallises the DXY-reversal international equity rotation thesis from Gann #21 into a committed position. [Source: [[sources/2026-08-05-gann-26-market-update-august-4|PSE Gann #26]], [[sources/2026-08-05-gann-26a-portfolio-alert-ame-iefa|PSE Gann 26a]]]

August 4, 2026 (PDF snapshot — reactivation confirmed on the sheet): The PDF documents the new regime: AME long (entry $254.05, 05.08.2026, s t o p$ 233.00) and IEFA long (entry $99.88, 05.08.2026, s t o p$ 97.00) as positions #1 and #2, and the PLTR short closed — “Stop triggered,” price out $162.66**, P&L **-$ 55.39/unit from the $107.27 e n t ry . T h ee x i t f i ll$ 27.66 above the $135 s t o p i s a p os t - e a r nin g s g a p - t h ro ug h, makin g P L TRt h e l a r g es t s in g l e - t r a d e l osso n t h e d oc u m e n t e d s h ee t (p re v i o u s w ors t : U MBF -$ 14.24) and a live illustration of gap risk when shorting high-beta AI names through earnings. Note: prior snapshot entries (July 6 – August 3) described the PLTR short as “in profit” while PLTR traded above the $107.27 entry — that framing had the sign inverted throughout; the position was underwater for essentially its entire life, and the PDF's own P&L column (-$ 55.39 actual, −$27.73 at the stop level) confirms it. Companion US Watchlist PDF shows IEFA removed (graduated to the portfolio), leaving five pending setups: UDN, COPX, XAR, DBA, DRS. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-August-04-2026.pdf, Current-US-watchlist-August-04-2026.pdf]

September 2, 2026 (PDF snapshot — peak diversification, rising risk): The portfolio holds 5 active long positions — the most diversified in its documented history. Three new entries since Aug 4: DBA (Invesco DB Agriculture Fund, entry $29.49, s t o p$ 27.50 — graduated from US Watchlist > $28.50), * * CGS * * (C o g s t a t e L t d, A SX, e n t ry$ 3.03, stop $2.70— g r a d u a t e df ro m A U S Wa t c h l i s t >$ 2.95), and SFR (Sandfire Resources, ASX, entry $24.88, s t o p$ 20.00 — graduated from AUS Watchlist > $22) . T h e p or t f o l i o ha sro t a t e df ro m U S e q u i t y b re ak o u t s (A ME, I EF A) t o a co mm o d i t y / reso u rce - h e a v y p os t u re : 3 o f 5 p os i t i o n s a re ina g r i c u lt u re an d minin g . Ho w e v er, * * 3 o f 5 p os i t i o n s a re u n d er w a t er * * : A ME a t$ 231.32 (only $1.68 ab o v e i t s$ 233 stop), SFR at $22.25 (- 10.6$ 99.34 (giving back gains). The concentration in commodities means a correlated metals/agriculture selloff could trigger multiple stops simultaneously. DBA’s re-entry (after the earlier March–May trade that netted +$0.70/unit) signals conviction in the agriculture breakout thesis tied to the Kondratieff Wave discussion from BBB #61. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-September-2-2026.pdf]

September 18, 2026 (PDF snapshot — first stop-out since reactivation): **AME (Ametek) stopped out 09.09.2026 at $230.61 * * — a g a p - t h ro ug h o f i t s$ 233.00 stop, realized **− $23.44/ u ni t * * (-$ 21.05/unit at the stop level, so the gap added ~ $2.39/unit of slippage). Active positions fall **5 \to 4**: DBA (#1), CGS (#2), SFR (#3), IEFA (#4) — the first contraction from the five-position peak held across four consecutive PDFs (Aug 28 \to Sep 4). The sheet's only other action is a **RAISE STOP on DBA:$ 27.50 → $28.00 e ff ec t i v e 15.09.2026 * *, 13 d a ys a f t er t h e 02.09.2026 e n t ry a t$ 29.49 — a move to near-flat-risk on the position, and the first stop adjustment since YPF’s $43 \to$ 48 raise on 16.06.2026. Current marks: CGS $3.435 (+ 13.4$ 21.70 (−12.8%, worst; $1.70 ab o v e i t s$ 20.00 stop), IEFA $98.93 (- 0.95$ 99.88 entry), DBA $28.42 (* * o n l y$ 0.42 above the raised $28.00 s t o p * *) . A ME i s t h e p or t f o l i o^{'} s * * seco n d co n sec u t i v es t o p - o u t * * a f t er P L T R^{'} s -$ 55.39/unit in August — and like PLTR, it filled beyond its stop, a reminder that in this tape stops are not honored at the level. With AME gone, 100% of the open book is ASX resources/agriculture (CGS, SFR, DBA) plus one international equity ETF (IEFA); the US-equity expression of the book has been fully retired (AME stopped, PLTR stopped, XAR pulled from the watchlist the same week). [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-September-18-2026.pdf, Current-US-watchlist-September-9-2026.pdf]

September 22–23, 2026 (PDF snapshots — price-only, no material change): Two consecutive re-uploads carry the identical four open positions, stops and entry dates as the 18 September sheet — DBA @29.49 stop 27.50 (adjusted stop 28 from 15.09.2026), CGS @3.03 stop 2.70, SFR @24.88 stop 20.00, IEFA @99.88 stop 97.00. Only the marked-to-market prices move: DBA 28.42 → 28.55, CGS 3.435 → 3.31, SFR 21.7 → 22.87, IEFA 98.93 → 99.47. Adjudicated with mex-pete-pdf-diff.py and silent per Floyd’s 2026-05-15 rule (no alert on price-only re-uploads); the 18 September page remains the canonical record. [Source: Mex-Pete-Model-Portfolio-September-23-2026.pdf]

September 23, 2026 (Gann #33 — the pyramiding filter, applied to the live book): Anderson supplies the criterion for choosing which open position deserves added size: “the best positions with strong momentum will not spend much time pulling back and should be in a hurry to rally higher.” Applied explicitly to two holdings, CGS passes — it formed tight, coiling action on its breakout backtest then resumed with a quick upside burst — while IEFA fails: it worked immediately, stalled in mid-August and has drifted lower, and “the signs of strong accumulation we saw in CGS are not emerging.” With IEFA’s stop at $97.00 an d I EF A ma r k e d$ 98.93 (18 Sept) / $99.47 (23 Sept), the practical read is that IEFA is the book’s weakest long and the leading stop-out candidate if the equinox date (23 Sept) resolves lower. [Source: [[sources/2026-09-23-gann-33-seasonal-timings|PSE Gann #33, 2026-09-23]]]

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