Summary
The August 4, 2026 US Watchlist PDF holds five entries — down from six on July 28. IEFA is removed from the watchlist because it triggered: it broke its 99.88 on August 4 (per Gann 26a). The remaining five setups are unchanged: UDN (buy >95), XAR (buy >28.50), DRS (buy >$50). Notably, AME — added to the US Watchlist in Gann #26 the same day — does not appear on this sheet, having triggered into the portfolio immediately. [Source: PSE, Current-US-watchlist-August-04-2026]
Key Claims
- US Watchlist holds 5 entries as of August 4, 2026: UDN (>95), XAR (>28.50), DRS (>$50). — confidence: high
- IEFA removed — graduated to the Mex Pete Model Portfolio on its breakout above 99.88, per Gann 26a). — confidence: high
- No new buy levels or level changes vs July 28 for the remaining names. — confidence: high
Watchlist Changes
- REMOVE: IEFA — triggered; now an active portfolio position (see 2026-08-04-mex-pete-portfolio-snapshot). [Source: PSE, Current-US-watchlist-August-04-2026]
Concepts Referenced
Emma’s Analysis
The watchlist is now a pure pipeline snapshot of what hasn’t yet broken out: dollar-bearish (UDN), copper (COPX), aerospace/defense (XAR, DRS), and agriculture (DBA) — the late-cycle commodity/defense complex from Gann #24’s rotation thesis. IEFA’s graduation is the system working as designed: watchlist → breakout → portfolio, the first such graduation since the June entries. If UDN triggers next, it would double down on the DXY-weakness thesis IEFA now expresses in the portfolio; DBA >50 remain the closest pending triggers per the July 28 commentary. Five loaded setups alongside two fresh portfolio longs marks the most constructive posture of the PSE system since May — consistent with a Winner’s Curse Phase melt-up into the 18.6-Year Real Estate Cycle peak window. [Source: PSE, Current-US-watchlist-August-04-2026]
Cross-references: 2026-07-28-us-watchlist-snapshot, 2026-08-04-mex-pete-portfolio-snapshot, 2026-08-05-gann-26a-portfolio-alert-ame-iefa