Executive Summary
A 2024 YouTube video explaining Fred Harrison’s 18-year property cycle and its track record of predicting real estate peaks and crashes. Published August 2024, this is one of Harrison’s public-facing explainer videos as the 2026 peak thesis reached mainstream awareness.
Key Content
- Explanation of the 18-year cycle structure: 14 years expansion, 4 years bust/recovery
- Harrison’s historical track record: documented predictions of the 1974, 1992, and 2008 crashes
- Application to current (2024) conditions: still in expansion phase, 2026 peak on track
- The “200 years of UK house price data” evidence base Harrison frequently references
Relationship to Other Harrison Sources
This video is the accessible entry point — designed for a general audience unfamiliar with the cycle. For Harrison’s full analytical treatment see:
- 2026-04-23-boom-bust-house-prices-banking-depression-of-2010-fred-harrison — the foundational book
- 2026-05-03-harrison-moneyweek-2022 — the detailed 2022 peak prediction interview
- 2026-05-03-harrison-ultimate-prediction-transcript-2026 — the 2023 deep-dive video