Summary
Brief email pointing to a new Cathy Stacey report (main report + addendum) on the 18.6-year property cycle, specifically studying the length of up and down moves in the US property market. The “14 up, 4 down” cycle structure is the focus — 14 years of rising land prices followed by ~4 years of decline.
Key Claims
- Cathy Stacey has published a detailed study of the “14 up, 4 down” cycle structure for the US property market. — confidence: high
- PSE’s cycle structure for the current phase: 14 years up (from ~2012), ~4 years down expected. — confidence: high
Predictions / Forecasts
None specific in this email.
Concepts Referenced
Notable Quotes
“Her latest report on the 18.6-year property cycle, including updated charts, historical timing, and what it may signal for 2026.”