Summary
First BBI session of 2022. Phil discusses esoteric timing — Olga’s 2022 setup based on 49-year and 36-year planetary patterns. Market top called for end of 2019 (100/60/20-year repeats confirmed). 60-year cycle following 1962 closely. Road map: expecting a mid-year low (July/August), followed by rally. Yield curve now inverted (wrong type) — waiting for 10-year/2-year inversion. Florida described as “always the craziest booms.” Key insight: homebuilder stocks should peak 6-8 months before general market, with 50% decline before broader top. Phil plans to compile pre-top indicators document for subscribers.
Key Claims
- Road map calling for July-August 2022 low, then rally into final cycle years. — confidence: high
- 60-year repeat matching 1962 quite well. — confidence: high
- Yield curve 10yr/3-month is the best recession predictor — inverted in 2019 and nobody noticed. — confidence: high
- North Node enters Aquarius mid-2026 = start of expected land price decline. — confidence: high
- US homebuilder stocks (Toll Brothers, DHI etc.) should peak 6-8 months before general market. — confidence: high
- After 14 years up, measuring from 2012 land bottom, 360 weeks forward = end of 2026. — confidence: high
- Florida always has the craziest booms (every cycle). — confidence: high
Predictions / Forecasts
- US market low July-August 2022. — status: confirmed
- 60-year pattern: move up into March, then crash down to mid-year low. — status: confirmed
- Dow potentially to ~55,000 from 2022 low. — status: tracking
- Trump to win 2024 election (Phil predicted this 7 years prior). — status: confirmed
Concepts Referenced
- 18.6-Year Real Estate Cycle
- North Node
- Gann Financial Timetable
- Decade Cycle Pattern
- Yield Curve
- Home Builders as Leading Indicator
Notable Quotes
“By the time we get to 2026, you guys are the only people who are going to see it. Autocrats around the world will make sure no competitive opinion about what’s really happening can be heard.”
“After 14 years up, 168 months of rising land prices — that’s it. History says that’s it.”
“The yield curve 10yr/3-month — that’s the best predictor. It inverted in 2019 and nobody saw it.”