Summary
Phil presents the Financial Timetable in detail — the foundational PSE document mapping stock market behavior within 18.6-year real estate cycles. The document, handed to Phil in the early 1990s, maps historical US stock market behavior using letter codes A-K (A=cycle low, K=cycle bottom) within each ~18-year column. Phil walks through the timetable column by column from 1784 to 1896, correlating it to actual US market panics and recoveries, and introduces it as the core framework for understanding how the stock market moves within the real estate cycle.
Key Claims
- The Financial Timetable is structured in 18-19 year columns starting from 1784, with the 18.6-year average spread across alternating 18 and 19-year gaps. — confidence: high
- Within each column: A=cycle bottom, B=high stock prices, C=panic, D=low, E=high, F=panic, G=low, H=very high, J=major panic, K=extreme low (strikes, unemployment, prominent deaths). — confidence: high
- The document was Phil’s key insight: the years at the bottom of each column (K) matched the US real estate cycle lows: 1804, 1823, 1841, 1859, 1878, 1896. — confidence: high
- Every 18.6 years, the US stock market repeats this A-K pattern, driven by the real estate cycle. — confidence: high
- Confirmed historically through data: 1792D, 1808B, 1810C, 1813E, 1814F, 1819J panic, 1834G, 1837J panic, 1857 major panic, 1893J panic, etc. — confidence: high
- The document appears to have been created around 1909 (W.D. Gann era) — original source uncertain. — confidence: medium
Predictions / Forecasts
- Framework used to forecast 2020 as “F” (panic/decline), 2021 as “G” (low), then recovery into 2024-2026 highs, 2028 lows. — status: 2020 F confirmed (COVID), 2021 recovery confirmed
Notable Quotes
“The financial timetable, what it is essentially saying to you is 18.6 year cycle and each of those columns are spread in 18 and 19 year spaces.”
“I noticed, as the internet progressed, after 1995… I noticed there was an extraordinary amount of work being posted up through the web, and some of the data that I was actually looking for, I discovered that other people had sort of been doing it.”