Summary
Welcome to edition 56 of the Boom Bust Bulletin, the first for 2026. I have said before that 2026 is an important year for land markets. So, whether you’re a long-time regular reader or brand new to the service, here’s a reminder. Some 220 years of history show us that, especially in the US, land markets rise for a 14-year period from the previous real estate cycle lows up to the next pe…
Key Claims
- 2 © 2026 Property Sharemarket Economics Source: Akhil Patel, Property Sharemarket Economics U.S land markets bottomed in 2012, thus 14 years up from there brings us to 2026. We also have a clock to denote the cycle. Here it is, currently the “time” is 2pm. Should history repeat, the small hand will turn to 1500 or 3 pm this year. This time represents the frenetic peak. A time when credit is at its most available and yet gets increasingly expensive to service. — confidence: medium
Notable Quotes
“I have said before that 2026 is an important year for land markets.”
”• Bringing it together Remember, you can always contact me via my email address darren@ propertysharemarketeconomics.”
“While important, the UK and Australian markets are not the primary focus of our research because on a global scale they lag far behind the true behemoth of them all, the United States.”
“This is because the US has the economic fire-power and largest capital markets to truly turn the cycle, and it’s why we must rely upon it to drive and determine the timing .”