Summary
Phil Anderson uses the February 28, 2026 U.S.-Israel attack on Iran as a key Gann anchor date, projecting forward 30/60/90 day counts and noting March 15 as a Gann turning point tied to both geopolitical escalation and a 1% S&P 500 reversal. He reviews the DXY at the critical 100 level and the 30-year Treasury yield approaching 5%, both framed as high-consequence technical levels in the context of wartime inflation fears, and raises stops across several Mex Pete portfolio positions while flagging the March 21 equinox as the next seasonal date to watch.
Key Claims
- February 28, 2026 (U.S.-Israel attack on Iran) is a key Gann anchor date; count forward 30, 60, and 90 days/weeks/months — confidence: high
- March 15, 2026 was a Gann date coinciding with Trump demanding NATO assist in securing the Strait of Hormuz — confidence: high
- The S&P 500 gained 1% on March 16 (day after the March 15 Gann date), reversing three consecutive weeks of declines — confidence: high
- PSE’s 2026 roadmap forecast a mid-February Dow peak followed by a pullback into early March; the March 9 low has so far held — confidence: high
- The roadmap points to a Dow rally continuing into late April 2026 — confidence: medium
- DXY is turning lower from the 100 level on the March 15 Gann date; the 100 area has repeatedly acted as support/resistance since the 2022 peak — confidence: high
- The 30-year Treasury yield is rallying back toward 5%; a breakout above 5% would signal major consequences for borrowing costs and reflect inflation/deficit fears — confidence: medium
- Disruption to tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is impacting energy and food prices and driving inflation expectations — confidence: medium
- The March 21 equinox is an important upcoming seasonal date likely to mark a turning point in charted markets — confidence: medium
Mex Pete References
Stop losses are being raised on several existing Mex Pete Model Portfolio positions (see below). No new ascending triangle patterns or entry signals are described in this email.
Stock Picks / Signals
- GLD (SPDR Gold Trust) — Stop raised to $440
- XOM (Exxon Mobil) — Stop raised to $144
- FUEL (Betashares Global Energy Companies Currency Hedged ETF) — Stop raised to $7.99
- DBA (Invesco DB Agriculture Fund) — Stop raised to $25.80
- TBT (ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF) — Added to the U.S. watchlist; 2x inverse leveraged ETF on 20+ year Treasuries, positioned to benefit from rising long-term yields
Predictions / Forecasts
- Dow Jones: Rally expected to unfold from current levels (post March 9 low) into late April 2026
- S&P 500: Short-term rally underway following the March 15 Gann date reversal
- DXY: Turning lower from the 100 level; watch for continued weakness
- 30-year Treasury yield: Approaching 5%; a confirmed breakout above 5% flagged as a high-impact event for borrowing costs and inflation sentiment
- March 21 equinox: Flagged as the next key seasonal date likely to influence open positions and charted markets
Notable Quotes
“You should always keep time counts, seasonal dates, and repeating timeframes in mind when performing your analysis.”
“A breakout over 5% would have major consequences for borrowing costs and reflect market fears over inflation along with U.S. federal debt and deficit spending.”