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Summary

Jelena Kojic updates economic indicators in the context of the cycle. Key late-cycle credit signals: crypto exchanges turning to derivatives to lure leveraged investors; Robinhood making margin trading easier in the UK; first-time home buyers targeted with low deposit mortgages in the UK — all right on time.

Key Claims

  • Crypto exchanges shifting to derivatives with leveraged bets is a late-cycle credit indicator. — confidence: high
  • Robinhood expanding margin trading to UK is a late-cycle credit signal. — confidence: high
  • First-time buyer low deposit mortgage products in the UK appearing right on time (late cycle). — confidence: high