Summary
Phil Anderson uses this email to extend the emotional-bias theme introduced in Gann Email #03, arguing that government and media propaganda actively distorts investor perception. He applies Gann-style historical time cycle analysis to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, identifying recurring 7, 30, 60, 80, 100, and 210-year intervals as evidence that geopolitical patterns repeat on predictable schedules. The email closes with a promise that the next instalment will focus exclusively on charts as the only unbiased tool available to traders.
Key Claims
- Mainstream media (East and West) presents contradictory narratives on the same events; neither should be trusted as investment guidance — confidence: high (explicitly stated, sourced to Gann Truth of the Stock Tape p.43)
- A Johns Hopkins meta-analysis (Hanke et al., January 2022) found lockdowns reduced COVID-19 mortality by only 0.2% on average in Europe and the US — confidence: high (direct citation, PDF linked)
- Scottish studies identified hospitals and poorly ventilated homes as the most likely locations of COVID transmission — confidence: medium (referenced without a direct citation)
- 2021 saw the highest global arms spending on record, while health spending was neglected — confidence: low (asserted without citation)
- Historical geopolitical events affecting Russia/Ukraine cluster at Gann-significant intervals from the present (2021/22): USSR formation 100 years prior (1922), Berlin Wall cycle 30 years (1961/91), Babi Yar massacre 80 years (1941), Ukrainian revolution 7 years/90 months (2014), Cuba crisis 60 years (1962), Napoleon’s 1812 campaign 210 years (= 7 × 30) — confidence: medium (dates are factually grounded; the cyclical interpretation is Anderson’s application of Gann methodology)
- The same time-cycle logic that applies to geopolitical events applies to markets, underpinning the annual January Roadmap — confidence: medium
Mex Pete References
None.
Stock Picks / Signals
None.
Predictions / Forecasts
None explicitly stated. Implicit forward guidance: current geopolitical conditions (2021/22) echo historical Russia-related crises at multiple Gann cycle intervals, suggesting heightened instability consistent with those prior periods. No specific price targets or dates given.
Notable Quotes
“The newspapers tell you what insiders want you to know, not what you need to know.” — W.D. Gann, Truth of the Stock Tape, p.43 (as cited by Anderson)
“Lockdowns in Europe and the United States only reduced COVID-19 mortality by 0.2% on average.” — Hanke et al., Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics meta-analysis, January 2022