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Summary

Phil Anderson examines the relationship between the Kondratiev (K-Wave) long economic cycle and periods of war, framing the Russia-Ukraine conflict within a historical pattern of geopolitical conflict coinciding with specific phases of long economic cycles.

Key Claims

  • Wars tend to coincide with identifiable phases of the Kondratiev Wave (K-Wave)
  • The Russia-Ukraine conflict fits a historical pattern of cycle-related geopolitical conflict
  • History repeating: prior K-Wave phases have seen similar escalations of military conflict
  • Understanding the K-Wave provides context for interpreting current geopolitical events