Summary
Phil Anderson and Akhil Patel release the 2022 Dow forecast curve, projecting a potential high in early/mid March followed by a decline into a late June/early July low. The forecast is framed within the 20- and 60-year cyclical patterns, and interpreted as a mid-cycle correction rather than a crash.
Key Claims
- 2022 Dow forecast: potential high early/mid March, then lower into late June/early July
- The 20- and 60-year patterns suggest a prolonged low rather than a sharp reversal
- This is not a “crash” — interpret within the real estate cycle construct
- Years ending in ‘2’ historically set up the run for the rest of the decade
- Full Roadmap PDF to follow with detailed workings and additional forecast curves