Summary
Phil Anderson introduces the PSE Gann email series by demonstrating cyclic time-count analysis through the lens of Trump’s personal financial history (1991 repeat at 30 years), US farm subsidy policy, and the life timing of recently deceased Helen Reddy. The email argues that government subsidies capitalise into land prices, setting up the next wave of farm bankruptcies near the commodity peak expected around 2026, and notes a recurring pattern of conflict in years ending in “1.”
Key Claims
- Trump’s 1990–91 financial crisis (casino bankruptcies, age 45) is a 30-year repeat point landing in 2020–21, making it a key emotional and circumstantial cycle — confidence: medium
- US farm subsidies announced by Trump will capitalise into farmland values, driving land prices higher and setting up a future bust cycle — confidence: high
- The next commodity/farmland price peak is expected around 2026 (Kondratiev Wave alignment) — confidence: medium
- Australia’s relaxation of responsible lending laws is functionally equivalent to US farm subsidies — both ease credit and inflate land prices — confidence: high
- Years ending in “1” have historically correlated with rising conflict and war (2001, 1991, 1981, 1961, 1951, 1941, 1931) — confidence: medium
- The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict revival in 2020 fits the 30-year post-Soviet-collapse cycle and the “years ending in 1” pattern — confidence: medium
- Helen Reddy’s career peak at age 30 and career midpoint/change at 1981 (age 40) illustrate how Gann life-timing principles apply to documented public figures — confidence: medium
- No government will prevent the land-price bust cycle; government policy is identified as a primary driver, not a corrective force — confidence: high (as editorial position)
Mex Pete References
None.
Stock Picks / Signals
None.
Predictions / Forecasts
- Commodity and farmland prices expected to peak around 2026 (Kondratiev Wave), after which a land price decline and banking stress cycle is anticipated.
- 2020–21 flagged as a cyclic repeat of 1990–91 conditions for Trump personally and potentially for subscribers in their own life cycles.
Notable Quotes
“Can you see how Mr Trump is driving the next set of farm bankruptcies in his drive to get re-elected? All politicians do this of course. It’s just that I’ve never seen it so blatant as it is presently.”
“No government anywhere in the world will fix this or stop it from happening. Indeed, government is the source of much of the problem, not the solution.”