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Summary

Phil directly addresses subscriber questions about whether COVID-19 has brought forward the end-of-cycle extreme bust. He examines US 18.6-year end-of-cycle leading indicators in a video and accompanying slides to determine if mid-cycle indicators look like end-of-cycle signals.

Key Claims

  • The question of whether COVID-19 cut the cycle short is examined against end-of-cycle leading indicators. — confidence: high
  • The video concludes indicators are mid-cycle, not end-of-cycle, in character. — confidence: medium (implied)